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2018 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool

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Back for yet another year!  If this pool was a person it would be on the verge of hitting puberty.

Below are 20 movies set to be released this summer. You need to make two lists:

List 1: Choose 15 of the 20 movies and rank them from highest to lowest according to the domestic box office gross you think each movie will make through its first 4 weeks (28 days) of release. Note that you're not trying to leave out the 5 movies you think will do the worst; just leave out the 5 that you feel least confident about ranking. Also, you don't need to guess how much money they'll make - just rank them. I'll be using boxofficemojo.com as the source for how much money each movie makes.

List 2: Choose 15 of the 20 movies (doesn't have to be the exact same 15 as your first list) and rank them from highest to lowest according to the rating you think each movie will have on rottentomatoes.com after it's been out for 4 weeks. Again, you're not necessarily trying to leave out the five worst movies.

Scoring: Your two lists will be compared with the actual ranks of the 15 movies, and your score will be the sum of the absolute values of the differences between the rank you gave to each movie and its correct rank. LOWEST score wins.

Tiebreaking: In addition to your two lists, pick any one of the twenty movies and post exactly how much money you think it'll make domestically, in dollars, in its first 28 days of release.  If two or more people end up with the same number of points, the person whose dollar figure is closer to correct (on a percentage basis) will be ranked ahead of the other.  If that still results in a tie, then the person who posted their entry earlier will be ranked ahead of the other. Also, if two or more movies end up tied in box office gross right down to the dollar (pretty much impossible, but just in case), or end up with the exact same rating on Rotten Tomatoes, the ranking of those two movies will be set to whatever is more favorable for each individual person.

The movies:

Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)
Overboard (May 4)
Life of the Party (May 11)
Deadpool 2 (May 18)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)
Action Point (Jun 1)
Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)
The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)
Superfly (Jun 15)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)
Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)
The First Purge (Jul 4)
Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)
Skyscraper (Jul 13)
The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)
Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27)
Christopher Robin (Aug 3)
The Meg (Aug 10)
The Happytime Murders (Aug 17)

Deadline: The last day you can post your lists is May 31st, 2018, but any movie that has already premiered must be left off your lists. So, for example, if you enter after April 26th, you can't put Infinity War on either of your lists because it'll already be in theatres.

Editing lists: You may edit your lists after they're posted, but only up until the release of any movie that appears on at least one of your lists. Since time of entry is a tiebreaker, if you edit a list, make a new post stating that you've edited.

"The Adjustment Bureau" rule: Movies' release dates are not set in stone. If a movie's release date gets moved past September 30, 2018, and you have it on a list, it gets removed, and you get an additional number of points equal to your average points per movie on that list, rounded to the nearest whole number.

Prizes: Top two finishers each get two selections from the following list, with a maximum of one Criterion selection; third through sixth places each get one pick from what remains.

  • THE BREAKFAST CLUB - Criterion dvd
  • NIGHT OF THE LIVING DEAD - Criterion dvd
  • ELECTION - Criterion dvd
  • THE PASSION OF JOAN OF ARC - Criterion dvd
  • THE WORK
  • SEOUL STATION
  • SWEET VIRGINIA
  • 68 KILL
  • THE ROOM - the booby prize, which goes to the last place finisher

Good luck!

In so far: The Natural, Paco, The Unholy Dragon, Jesse Ewiak, The Z, Ace, hobo joe, King Leonidas of Sparta, J.T., ivpvideos, SorceressKnight, DreamBroken, RIPPA, gatling, Control, The Erotic Terrorist, Hail Sabin, Kuetsar, EVA, Super Ape, CSC, West Newbury Bad Boy, S.K.o.S., Elsalvajeloco, Niners Fan in CT, JRGoldman, El Dragon

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SBMP Hall of Fame:

 

In 2008, 9 people entered, and the top 3 got prizes:

1. Evil Ash
2. Nathan Davis
3. Brocklock

In 2009, 28 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. SoopArr AE
2. The Erotic Terrorist
3. RossWB
4. Genesis
5. Nathan Davis
6. MushroomJones

In 2010, 39 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. -MJ-
2. RossWB
3. Pavel6969
4. Brocklock
5. SoopArr AE
6. shoogbear63

In 2011, 42 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. Hobo Joe
2. scraylo187
3. -MJ-
4. Hail Sabin
5. shoogbear63
6. The Erotic Terrorist

In 2012, 39 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. blitzkrieg
2. IVPvideos
3. jesseewiak
4. DreamBroken
5. Patty1369
6. TrevL

In 2013, 32 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. The Damn Yeti
2. RossWB
3. Genesis
4. Death From Above
5. The Erotic Terrorist
6. -MJ-

In 2014, 36 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. -MJ-
2. Control
3. The Erotic Terrorist
4. Chaos
5. RossWB
6. The Natural

In 2015, 20 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. -MJ-
2. DreamBroken
3. Rippa
4. Hobo Joe
5. RossWB
6. Paco

In 2016, 23 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. RossWB
2. JRGoldman
3. Paco
4. EVA
5. Rippa
6. ivpvideos

In 2017, 26 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. Elsalvajeloco
2. _MJ_
3. Paco
4. The Natural
5. DreamBroken
6. RossWB

SorceressKnight also got a booby prize for finishing last.

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I will contribute again as I can dip into the DVDVR funds (assuming folks keep getting angry at me and paying me to write reviews)

EDIT - I will DEFINITELY contribute the booby prize again. Which should probably be noted on the Hall of Fame going forward

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My entry is a mixture of research, winging it and doing this when poorly :

Box Office:

1. Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)

2. The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)

3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)

4. Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)

5.  Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)

6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27)

7. Skyscraper (Jul 13)

8. Deadpool 2 (May 18)

9. Christopher Robin (Aug 3)

10. Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)

11. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)

12. Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)

13. The First Purge (Jul 4)

14. The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)

15. Superfly (Jun 15)

Rotten Tomatoes:

1. Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)

2.  The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)

3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27)

4. Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)

5.  Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)

6.  Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)

7.  Christopher Robin (Aug 3)

8.  Deadpool 2 (May 18)

9. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)

10.  Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)

11. The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)

12. The First Purge (Jul 4)

13. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)

14. Action Point (Jun 1)

15. Overboard (May 4)

Tiebreaker:

Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27): $75 million

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I will get my ballot in as soon as I can.

I can also pitch in a DVD from my regifting pile into the Prize Pool.

2 hours ago, S.K.o.S. said:

Deadline: The last day you can post your lists is May 31st, 2018, but any movie that has already premiered must be left off your lists.

Translation:  Get your shit in before April 27th so that your #1 BO pick of Avengers: IW can be a fucking gift.

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3 hours ago, S.K.o.S. said:

SBMP Hall of Fame:

In 2017, 26 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. Elsalvajeloco

 

Goddamn right.

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10 hours ago, J.T. said:

Translation:  Get your shit in before April 27th so that your #1 BO pick of Avengers: IW can be a fucking gift.

Yeah, that's pretty much a guarantee.

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BO:

1. Avengers: Infinity War
2. Deadpool 2
3. The Incredibles 2
4. Solo: A Star Wars Story
5. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
6. Ant-Man and the Wasp
7. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
8. Ocean's 8
9. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
10. Skyscraper
11. The First Purge
12. Life of the Party
13. Sicario: Day of the Soldado
14. Overboard
15. The Meg

 

RT:

1. The Incredibles 2
2. Avengers: Infinity War
3. The Happytime Murders
4. Deadpool 2
5. Ant-Man and the Wasp
6. Solo: A Star Wars Story
7. Ocean's 8
8. Life of the Party
9. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
10. The Equalizer 2
11. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
12. Skyscraper
13. The First Purge
14. Overboard
15. The Meg

 

Tiebreaker: The First Purge ($73 Million)

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Reading through last year's thread. Can't believe how much attention was paid to Baywatch's Rotten Tomatoes score. There's like a full page of "WE KNOW IT'S BAD... BUT PRECISELY HOW BAD IS IT???"

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3 minutes ago, S.K.o.S. said:

Reading through last year's thread. Can't believe how much attention was paid to Baywatch's Rotten Tomatoes score. There's like a full page of "WE KNOW IT'S BAD... BUT PRECISELY HOW BAD IS IT???"

Promotion lesson #1: If you make BUTTS: THE MOTION PICTURE even people that pretend they don't care actually care.

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7 hours ago, The Natural said:

@Paco! Long time no see fella. Best to you.

Yup, this is what I come back to DVDVR for every Summer :)

Love the Blockbuster Pool!

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I know for sure like every year the RT list will be the death of me. 

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Man ... Infinity War is such a slam drunk #1 BO that it almost motivates me to think about doing a ballot before June this year.

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BO
Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)
The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)
Deadpool 2 (May 18)
Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)
Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27)
Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)
Skyscraper (Jul 13)
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)
The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)
The First Purge (Jul 4)
The Meg (Aug 10)
Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)
Christopher Robin (Aug 3)


RT

The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)
Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)
Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)
Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)
Deadpool 2 (May 18)
Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27)
Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)
Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)
The First Purge (Jul 4)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)
The Meg (Aug 10)
Skyscraper (Jul 13)
The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)
Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)
Overboard (May 4)

Tiebreaker - Ant-Man and the Wasp - $170 Million

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Box Office

 

1) Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)

2) The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)

3) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)

4) Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)

5) Deadpool 2 (May 18)
6) Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)
7) The Happytime Murders (Aug 17)

8) Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)

9) Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)
10) The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)
11) Christopher Robin (Aug 3)
12) The Meg (Aug 10)
13) Skyscraper (Jul 13)
14) The First Purge (Jul 4)

15) Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)
 

RT

1) The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)

2) Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)

3) Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)

4) The Happytime Murders (Aug 17)

5) Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)

6) Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)

7) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)

8) Deadpool 2 (May 18)

9) The First Purge (Jul 4)

10) Christopher Robin (Aug 3)

11) The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)

12) Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)

13) Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)

14) The Meg (Aug 10)

15) Skyscraper (Jul 13)

 

Tiebreak: Infinity War $380 Million

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Super jazzed to do this again, even if I have way less of a sense of where things will fall this year than I thought I did last. Thanks for running it again @S.K.o.S.! I've genuinely been looking forward to it for months.

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12 hours ago, The Unholy Dragon said:

Super jazzed to do this again, even if I have way less of a sense of where things will fall this year than I thought I did last. Thanks for running it again @S.K.o.S.! I've genuinely been looking forward to it for months.

Yes, it's a great annual tradition here run by @S.K.o.S..

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@Jesse Ewiak just in case SKOS didn't send you a message

You need a tiebreaker

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I haven't done this in a few years, so I'll attempt it tonight. I feel like the top 3 Box Office are pretty simple, but this is going to be a tough year to shake the rest and have any guess on the RottenTomatoes front.

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Alright, let's do this. No way I'm skipping out on this, even though I feel every year I have less of an idea of what I'm doing than the year before.

Box Office:

1. Avengers: Infinity War
2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom
3. Solo: A Star Wars Story
4. Deadpool 2
5. The Incredibles 2
6. Ant-Man and the Wasp
7. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
8. Ocean's 8
9. Skyscraper
10. The Equalizer 2
11. Christopher Robin
12. The Meg
13. Overboard
14. Action Point
15. Superfly

Rotten Tomatoes:

1. Avengers: Infinity War
2. The Incredibles 2
3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout
4. The Happytime Murders
5. Deadpool 2
6. Ant-Man and the Wasp
7. Ocean's 8
8. The Equalizer 2
9. Sicario: Day of the Soldado
10. Skyscraper
11. Overboard
12. The Meg
13. The First Purge
14. Life of the Party
15. Action Point

Tie Breaker:

Mission: Impossible - Fallout ($190 Million)

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BO:
1. Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)
2. The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)
3. Deadpool 2 (May 18)
4. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)
5. Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)
6. Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)
7. Skyscraper (Jul 13)
8. Life of the Party (May 11)
9. Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)
10. The Meg (Aug 10)
11. Overboard (May 4)
12.. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)
13. Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)
14.  Action Point (Jun 1)
15. The Happytime Murders (Aug 17)


RT
1. The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)
2. Christopher Robin (Aug 3)
3. Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)
4. Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)
5. Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)
6. Deadpool 2 (May 18)
7. Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)
8. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)
9. Life of the Party (May 11)
10. Superfly (Jun 15)
11. Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)
12. Overboard (May 4)
13. The First Purge (Jul 4)
14. Action Point (Jun 1)
15. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)

 

Tiebreaker: Incredibles 2: 240 million

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@Ace you only need to rank 15 movies on each list. You can remove any 5 movies from each of them.

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BOX OFFICE

1. Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)
2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)

3. Solo: A Star Wars Story (May 25)
4. Deadpool 2 (May 18)

5. The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)

6. Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27)

7. Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)

8. Skyscraper (Jul 13)

9. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)

10. Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)

11. Action Point (Jun 1)

12. The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)

13. The First Purge (Jul 4)

14. Life of the Party (May 11)
15. Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)

 

ROTTEN TOMATOES

1. Mission: Impossible - Fallout (Jul 27)

2. The Incredibles 2 (Jun 15)

3. Sicario: Day of the Soldado (Jun 29)

4. Avengers: Infinity War (Apr 27)
5. Deadpool 2 (May 18)

6. Ant-Man and the Wasp (Jul 6)

7. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Jun 22)

8. Ocean's 8 (Jun 8)
9. Action Point (Jun 1)

10. The Equalizer 2 (Jul 20)

11. Skyscraper (Jul 13)

12. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (Jul 20)

13. The First Purge (Jul 4)

14. Overboard (May 4)
15. Life of the Party (May 11)

 

TIE BREAKER: Ant-Man & The Wasp $288,210,581

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