Yeah, I considered all of that but you would think it would be in the theater for at least a month during perhaps the leanest part of the release schedule.
Also, I would safely assume if you're waiting for a relatively serene time to put out something like Detroit, you would be waiting decades. So I don't buy that one at all. I mean Selma came out right after Ferguson and did okay considering Oyelowo is not really a name here and the lead actress who also really isn't known played Coretta Scott King in a made-for-HBO TV movie thirteen years earlier. I mean Nate Parker, a guy who hadn't been in a film for two years and wasn't really known, went up against a nine week long smear campaign and the most well known actress/actor in the film penning a letter in the LA Times (IIRC) right before the release that didn't help his cause at all and STILL did seven million in nine hundred less theaters.
Although I don't believe Mackie and Boyega are really stars outside of Disney owned properties that were going to be successful anyway, you would think Bigelow's return from a motion picture directorial hiatus, first non war (in the conventional sense at least) film in forever, and the positive reviews would draw at least some intrigue. At least enough intrigue for a respectable $10-$12 million opening weekend (on par with Selma's wide basically). I mean if Nate Parker can do $7 million amidst people wanting him to do a nationwide apology tour for something he was not convicted of and also the sabotage of Blavity/TheRoot/Ebony/Essence/whatever other white owned black entity that caters to the 18-35 year old black crowd that doesn't like cishet black males, Kathryn Bigelow can do $15 million first week when barely anything else of note is out and won't be out for another month upon its release. That should be feasible especially with the demand of more females behind the camera (granted Unforgettable and Rough Night didn't do well commercially and had females featured prominently in the cast as well).