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2019 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool


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UPDATE 9 OF 21 - through July 4

Standings-

1 [ 3] JRGoldman - 18 points (12/6, tiebreak 0.892)
2 [- 2] Paco - 20 points (14/6, tiebreak 0.252)
3 [ 1] The Z - 20 points (12/8, tiebreak n/a)
4 [- 4] Niners Fan in CT - 22 points (10/12, tiebreak 1.952)
5 [- 5] Control - 24 points (10/14, tiebreak 0.157)
6 [ 7] West Newbury Bad Boy - 24 points (16/8, tiebreak 0.91)
7 [ 10] J.T. - 26 points (14/12, tiebreak 1.573)
8 [ 11] Elsalvajeloco - 28 points (14/14, tiebreak n/a)
9 [- 9] gatling - 30 points (18/12, tiebreak 0.179)
10 [ 6] SorceressKnight - 30 points (20/10, tiebreak n/a)
11 [ 8] The Natural - 32 points (18/14, tiebreak 2.007)
12 [- 12] ivpvideos - 32 points (14/18, tiebreak n/a)
13 [- 13] Rippa - 32 points (16/16, tiebreak n/a)
14 [ 19] King Leonidas of Sparta - 40 points (26/14, tiebreak 0.369)
15 [- 15] EVA - 40 points (24/16, tiebreak 1.337)
16 [- 16] DreamBroken - 40 points (28/12, tiebreak 1.639)
17 [ 14] Phantom Lord - 42 points (24/18, tiebreak n/a)
18 [ 17] The Unholy Dragon - 44 points (30/14, tiebreak 0.175)
19 [ 20] RossWB - 44 points (16/28, tiebreak 0.796)
20 [ 18] Ace - 46 points (28/18, tiebreak 2.718)
21 [- 21] Kuetsar - 50 points (30/20, tiebreak n/a)
22 [- 22] Hail Sabin - 66 points (34/32, tiebreak 2.28)

Box office

1 [- 1] Aladdin - $275,310,128 (28 days)
2 [- 2] Toy Story 4 - $272,257,544 (14 days)
3 [- 3] John Wick 3 - $142,526,905 (28 days)
4 [ 5] Secret Life of Pets 2 - $135,058,335 (28 days)
5 [ 4] Detective Pikachu - $134,421,719 (28 days)
6 [- 6] Godzilla - $104,530,951 (28 days)
7 [NEW] Spider-Man Far From Home - $91,455,628 (3 days)
8 [ 7] Rocketman - $80,303,960 (28 days)
9 [- 9] Men In Black Int'l - $68,354,949 (21 days)
10 [ 8] Dark Phoenix - $64,198,317 (28 days)
11 [ 10] Long Shot - $29,569,693 (28 days)
12 [ 11] Child's Play - $25,261,739 (14 days)
13 [ 12] Shaft - $19,454,975 (21 days)

Rotten Tomatoes

1 [- 1] Toy Story 4 - 361/368 = 98% (14 days)
2 [NEW] Spider-Man Far From Home - 264/286 = 92% (3 days)
3 [ 2] John Wick 3 - 266/297 = 90% (28 days)
4 [ 3] Rocketman - 292/327 = 89% (28 days)
5 [ 4] Long Shot - 208/258 = 81% (28 days)
6 [ 5] Detective Pikachu - 176/265 = 66% (28 days)
7 [ 6] Child's Play - 95/155 = 61% (14 days)
8 [- 8] Secret Life of Pets 2 - 75/131 = 57% (28 days)
9 [ 7] Aladdin - 186/327 = 57% (28 days)
10 [ 9] Godzilla - 123/305 = 40% (28 days)
11 [ 10] Shaft - 32/101 = 32% (21 days)
12 [ 11] Dark Phoenix - 75/331 = 23% (28 days)
13 [ 12] Men In Black Int'l - 62/283 = 22% (21 days)

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Based on just the first 3 days, it looks like Spider-Man and Aladdin are gonna be real close in box office take.

Spider-Man has $91,455,628 after 3 days (but some of that is estimates that will be finalized later, due to the holiday)

Aladdin had $91,500,929 after 3 days

Edited by S.K.o.S.
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On ‎7‎/‎5‎/‎2019 at 4:35 PM, S.K.o.S. said:

7 [ 10] J.T. - 26 points (14/12, tiebreak 1.573)

8 [ 11] Elsalvajeloco - 28 points (14/14, tiebreak n/a)

On ‎7‎/‎5‎/‎2019 at 8:06 PM, Ace said:

Whoever takes the lead from Elsa needs to post the gif of Liger kicking the helmet.

65g3thlqd7v21.gif

 

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On 5/16/2019 at 8:45 AM, RIPPA said:

Stuber has 7 reviews and is at 57%

I feel good now

Now that reviews are starting to trickle in it has been going down

43% with 21 reviews

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Lion King wasn't unanimously at the top of RT lists.

14 people put it in their top 3. 4 more people had it 4th or 5th.

Then one person put it 6th, one put it 9th, one put it 11th, and one left it off their RT list.

Right now it's at 55% (although that seems to be fluctuating) which would put it 10th among the 15 movies we have numbers for (if you include Stuber, which is at 44%).

Worth noting that the guy who put it 9th is JRGoldman, who was already in 1st place.

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41 minutes ago, Raziel said:

Add in the usual Anti-CGI snobbery and yeah, it was gonna get slammed.

Yeah but Spider-Man is all CGI and it's 90% as is a lot of comic book movies.  There's something with the Disney remakes that don't seem to be clicking the way they should.  

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As someone who's seen a bunch of these now, there's very little value added. With Aladdin, there was 1-2 new songs of varying value, some tightened character motivations, and Jasmine's character getting a bit more to do (brief aside on that in a minute). With Jungle Book, it was the newness of the technology and the stunt casting, mainly. I honestly have no idea what Beauty and the Beast had to offer. A lot of it is just the chance to see these again on the big screen with a new generation, I think, with that slight uncertainty of how an angle of a shot is going to be, etc., just enough to make it not entirely rote and familiar. 

(re: Jasmine: my wife who is my age, distinctly disliked animated Jasmine because she thought she did nothing. I, who watched the Aladdin TV show religiously as a kid, remember her having a lot more agency).

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Now watch this stupid thing under-perform at the box office like every other non-superhero blockbuster this summer.

Fuckfuckfuck. And by under-perform, I mean be wildly successful but below projections. 

Edited by West Newbury Bad Boy
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I'm seeing Lion King related stuff everywhere right now I think it's going to be bigger than everything outside of Avengers.  It's going to be gigantic.  

I'm with Matt, though.   I think Disney is ruining the box office with all this remake stuff and sequel stuff.  Obvious cash grabs,  do I think the public would pay no mind to fresh ideas?  I don't believe we have the evidence that suggests the public does not want fresh ideas. We do have evidence to suggest that a lot of sequels are not hitting their mark.  

Take Star Wars..   Is it going to do huge business sure. Is it going to do the kind of business that Force Awakens did,  not even close because they are not giving the audience fresh ideas. 

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23 minutes ago, West Newbury Bad Boy said:

Now watch this stupid thing under-perform at the box office like every other non-superhero blockbuster this summer.

Fuckfuckfuck. And by under-perform, I mean be wildly successful but below projections. 

I think this one is RT proof. It could be at 0% right now and do virtually the same business. However, if this was like Dumbo or the Nutcracker film from last fall, I would be nervous if this was one of the films in the contest.

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28 minutes ago, Niners Fan in CT said:

I don't believe we have the evidence that suggests the public does not want fresh ideas.

Because that's not a thing, nor will it ever be. Even if audiences are going to see a lot of sequels and remakes and reboots (because that's what major studios are pumping out and promoting), people always want the next big thing. The problem is large corporations and the spineless people who own/run them would normally rather flip a coin on proven commodities than roll a twenty-sided die on a new idea. These things always always always boil down to risk mitigation. And when you own several generations of cherished childhood IP, you get to play that game on a massive scale and risk next to nothing. Ten so/so tent-pole sequels that kindasorta under-perform will produce results that make most shareholders happier than five tent-pole sequels and five originals. And if you're talking about potential longterm diminishing returns on the Star Wars box office, you're not speaking their language. Not on this scale, not with the liscensing and other revenue streams, not with the incentives that guide a lot of shitty management decisions.

I hope the fucking sun explodes before Disney buys the rights to Harry Potter. 

Edited by West Newbury Bad Boy
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I do think Solo should have been alarming to Disney.  It showed that maybe the public won't just eat shit for the next 20 years. It wasn't a bad film probably..  but it was a mediocre one that nobody asked for and despite it making some money at the box office it came in so far under expectations and they blew through two times the original budget to try to save it and still couldn't. 

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Solo was enough of an alarm bell that they reshuffled some of their Star Wars plans, re: the "anthology" movies. But the clip they're pumping those things out at isn't slowing down anytime soon. 

And that's not even touching the b-tier zombie franchises that'll be driving Disney+ out of the gate. 

Edited by West Newbury Bad Boy
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