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S.K.o.S.

2019 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool

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Posted (edited)

2019, soon to be known as the year of Playmobil!

Below are 20 movies set to be released this summer. You need to make two lists:

List 1: Choose 15 of the 20 movies and rank them from highest to lowest according to the domestic box office gross you think each movie will make through its first 4 weeks (28 days) of release. Note that you're not trying to leave out the 5 movies you think will do the worst; just leave out the 5 that you feel least confident about ranking. Also, you don't need to guess how much money they'll make - just rank them. I'll be using boxofficemojo.com as the source for how much money each movie makes.

List 2: Choose 15 of the 20 movies (doesn't have to be the exact same 15 as your first list) and rank them from highest to lowest according to the rating you think each movie will have on rottentomatoes.com after it's been out for 4 weeks. Again, you're not necessarily trying to leave out the five worst movies.

Scoring: Your two lists will be compared with the actual ranks of the 15 movies, and your score will be the sum of the absolute values of the differences between the rank you gave to each movie and its correct rank. LOWEST score wins.

Tiebreaking: In addition to your two lists, pick any one of the twenty movies and post exactly how much money you think it'll make domestically, in dollars, in its first 28 days of release.  If two or more people end up with the same number of points, the person whose dollar figure is closer to correct (on a percentage basis) will be ranked ahead of the other.  If that still results in a tie, then the person who posted their entry earlier will be ranked ahead of the other. Also, if two or more movies end up tied in box office gross right down to the dollar (pretty much impossible, but just in case), or end up with the exact same rating on Rotten Tomatoes, the ranking of those two movies will be set to whatever is more favorable for each individual person.

The movies:

Long Shot (May 3)
Detective Pikachu (May 10)
John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17)
Aladdin (May 24)
Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31)
Rocketman (May 31)
Dark Phoenix (Jun 7)
The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7)
Shaft (Jun 14)
Men In Black International (Jun 14)
Toy Story 4 (Jun 21)
Child's Play (Jun 21)
Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2)
Stuber (Jul 12)
The Lion King (Jul 19)
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Jul 26)
Dora & the Lost City of Gold (Jul 31)
Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2)
New Mutants (April 2020)
Dora & the Lost City of Gold (Aug 9)
Playmobil: The Movie (Aug 30)

Deadline: The last day you can post your lists is May 30th, 2019, but any movie that has already premiered must be left off your lists. So, for example, if you enter on or after May 3rd, you can't put Long Shot on either of your lists because it'll already be in theatres.

Editing lists: You may edit your lists after they're posted, but only up until the release of any movie that appears on at least one of your lists. Since time of entry is a tiebreaker, if you edit a list, make a new post stating that you've edited.

"The Adjustment Bureau" rule: Movies' release dates are not set in stone. If a movie's release date gets moved past September 30, 2019, and you have it on a list, it gets removed, and you get an additional number of points equal to your average points per movie on that list, rounded to the nearest whole number.

Prizes: TBA.  It's going to be DVDs, as usual, but I have no idea which ones.

Good luck!

In so far: The Natural, SorceressKnight, DreamBroken, J.T., ivpvideos, Paco, Phantom Lord, The Z, RossWB, Ace, Rippa, gatling, The Unholy Dragon, EVA, Hail Sabin, West Newbury Bad Boy, JRGoldman, King Leonidas of Sparta, Kuetsar, Niners Fan in CT

Edited by S.K.o.S.
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HA! I almost picked Stuber as the random movie but I also had ran out of spots (since I was including End Game)

Oh and I am good for prizes - including booby prize. I will get with you once I decide what they will be.

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Do you call it on the fly, do research or a merger of the two? Thus the eternal question this brings up.

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Posted (edited)

Sooooo many movies on that list I am not even going to bother putting on my ballot.

Watch Aladdin be 89% on RT after I put it on my list at dead last.

Edited by J.T.
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Posted (edited)

I've started my Rotten Tomatoes list. Reached the halfway mark. Curse you, @S.K.o.S.!

Some of these films I've found out about for the first time while I wasn't sure New Mutants was getting a release.

Edited by The Natural
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4 minutes ago, The Natural said:

Some of these films I've found out about for the first time while I wasn't sure New Mutants was getting a release.

Which is why New Mutants will probably be my choice for Bomb Of The Summer.

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7 minutes ago, J.T. said:

Which is why New Mutants will probably be my choice for Bomb Of The Summer.

I think that might surprise people due to lowered expectations. Aladdin's my pick to get the kicking.

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Posted (edited)
11 minutes ago, The Natural said:

I think that might surprise people due to lowered expectations. Aladdin's my pick to get the kicking.

It will probably be my Not-Bumblebee Transformers pick:  High Box Office / Shit Reviews.

Edited by J.T.
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10 minutes ago, J.T. said:

It will probably be my Not-Bumblebee Transformers pick:  High Box Office / Shit Reviews.

Funny correction, @J.T.!

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Posted (edited)

Box Office:

1.    Toy Story 4 (Jun 21)

2.    The Lion King (Jul 19)

3.    Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2)

4.    Detective Pikachu (May 10)

5.    Aladdin (May 24)

6.    Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2)

7.    John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17)

8.    The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7)

9.    Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31)

10.  Dark Phoenix (Jun 7)

11.  New Mutants (Aug 2)

12.  Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Jul 26)

13.  Rocketman (May 31)

14.  Child's Play (Jun 21)

15.  Stuber (Jul 12)

Rotten Tomatoes:

1.    Toy Story 4 (Jun 21)

2.    Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Jul 26)

3.    The Lion King (Jul 19)

4.    Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2)

5.    John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17)

6.    Long Shot (May 3)

7.    Men In Black International (Jun 14)

8.    Detective Pikachu (May 10)

9.  Child's Play (Jun 21)

10.    Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2)

11.  Rocketman (May 31)

12.  Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31)

13.  New Mutants (Aug 2)

14.  Dark Phoenix (Jun 7)

15.  Aladdin (May 24)

Tiebreaker:

Spider-Man: Far From Home, $275million.

Edited by The Natural

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I love how you didn’t even bother to list Endgame since everyone knows it’s automatic #1 in box office.

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4 minutes ago, Super Ape said:

I love how you didn’t even bother to list Endgame since everyone knows it’s automatic #1 in box office.

Well SKOS mentioned it in the other thread - but he doesn't do movies that open in April

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1 hour ago, RIPPA said:

Well SKOS mentioned it in the other thread - but he doesn't do movies that open in April

Dorp.

I can read good and stuff.

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8 minutes ago, Super Ape said:

Dorp.

I can read good and stuff.

I'll vouch for you, though the post with that Goldberg avatar made me chuckle aloud. Cheers bud!

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I haven't got a clue this year. (Or previous years going by my results). This year especially all the movies I think will be utter crap like Aladdin and Rocketman have the possibility to do annoyingly well. The stuff I want to see like Hobbs and Shaw and OUATIH could go either way. I may as well just randomize it for the good it will do me to actually decide.

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Earliest movie on the list is Long Shot, but that probably won't be on my list.

I'll submit a list before Detective Pikachu comes out.

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Posted (edited)

Okay...let's see if this is the year the Streak ends.

BOX OFFICE:

1- Toy Story 4
2- The Lion King
3- Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw- TIEBREAKER: $350 million
4- Spiderman: Far From Home
5- Aladdin
6- Dark Phoenix
7- Rocketman
8- The Secret Life of Pets 2
9- Detective Pikachu
10- Men in Black International
11- Shaft
12- Dora and the Lost City of Gold
13- Child's Play
14- Stuber
15- Playmobil: The Movie

ROTTEN TOMATOES:

1) Toy Story 4 
2) Spiderman: Far From Home
3) The Lion King
4) Rocketman
5) Aladdin
6) Detective Pikachu
7- John Wick: Chapter 3- Parabellum
8- Playmobil: The Movie
9- Dora & The Lost City of Gold
10- The Secret Life of Pets 2
11- Dark Phoenix
12- Shaft
13- Stuber
14- Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw
15- Men in Black International

 

EDIT: Edited to adjust for the "New Mutants" change.

Edited by SorceressKnight
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Box Office
1. Toy Story 4 (Jun 21)
2. The Lion King (Jul 19)
3. Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2)
4. The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7)
5. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2)
6. Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31)
7. Detective Pikachu (May 10)
8. Dark Phoenix (Jun 7)
9. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17)
10. Shaft (Jun 14)
11. Child's Play (Jun 21)
12. Men In Black International (Jun 14)
13. Rocketman (May 31)
14. Stuber (Jul 12)
15. Long Shot (May 3)
 

Rotten Tomato
1. Toy Story 4 (Jun 21)
2. The Lion King (Jul 19)
3. Detective Pikachu (May 10)
4. Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2)
5. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17)
6. Long Shot (May 3)
7. Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31)
8. The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7)
9. Shaft (Jun 14)
10. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2)
11. Child's Play (Jun 21)
12. Stuber (Jul 12)
13. Dark Phoenix (Jun 7)
14. Men In Black International (Jun 14)
15. New Mutants (Aug 2)

Tiebreaker: Child's Play ($66,670,401)

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I'm in.

BOX OFFICE

  1. Toy Story 4
  2. The Lion King
  3. Fast & Furious Presents:  Hobbs & Shaw
  4. Spider Man:  Far From Home
  5. Detective Pikachu
  6. Godzilla:  King of the Monsters
  7. John Wick, Chapter 3:   Parabellum
  8. Dark Phoenix
  9. Longshot
  10. Shaft
  11. Rocketman
  12. Child's Play
  13. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  14. Stuber
  15. Playmobil:  The Movie

ROTTEN TOMATOS

  1. The Lion King
  2. Toy Story 4
  3. Spider Man:  Far From Home
  4. Detective Pikachu
  5. John Wick Chapter 3, Parabellum
  6. Long Shot
  7. Rocketman
  8. Fast & Furious Presents:  Hobbs & Shaw
  9. Child's Play
  10. Shaft
  11. Dark Phoenix
  12. Men In Black: International
  13. Aladdin
  14. Dora & The Lost City of Gold.
  15. New Mutants.

Tiebreaker:  Child's Play:  $65 Million

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Box Office

Toy Story 4

The Lion King

Spider Man: Far From Home

Fast & The Furious Presents: Hobb & Shaw

Aladdin

The Secret Life Of Pets 2

Godzilla King Of The Dinosaurs

Detective Pikachu

John Wick Chapter 3

Men In Black International

Dark Phoenix

Shaft

Dora & The Lost City Of Gold

New Mutants

Stuber

 

Rotten Tomatoes

 

Toy Story 4

The Secret Life Of Pets 2

The Lion King

Rocketman

Godzilla, King Of Monsters

Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw

Spider Man: Far from Home

John Wick 3 Chapter 3

Aladdin

Men In Black International

Shaft

Stuber

Dark Phoenix

Dora & The Lost City

New Mutants

Tiebreaker: Stuber $18 million

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BOX OFFICE:

1. The Lion King (Jul 19)
2. Toy Story 4 (Jun 21)
3. Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2)
4. Aladdin (May 24)
5. The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7)

6. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2)
7. Dark Phoenix (Jun 7)

8. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17)
9. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Jul 26)
10. Rocketman (May 31)

11. Child's Play (Jun 21)
12. Long Shot (May 3)
13. Shaft (Jun 14)
14. Stuber (Jul 12)

15. Playmobil: The Movie (Aug 16)

 

ROTTEN TOMATOES:

1. The Lion King (Jul 19)
2. Toy Story 4 (Jun 21)
3. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Jul 26)

4. Long Shot (May 3)
5. John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17)
6. Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2)
7. Detective Pikachu (May 10)

8. Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2)
9. The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7)
10. Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31)
11. Men In Black International (Jun 14)
12. Stuber (Jul 12)
13. New Mutants (Aug 2)

14. Dark Phoenix (Jun 7)
15. Playmobil: The Movie (Aug 16)

 

TIEBREAKER: Toy Story 4 ($341 Million)

 

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You'd think Toy Story 4 is as close to a guarantee pick you can get in these Summer Blockbuster Pools. That movie has a lot of pressure following on from the trilogy and how loved Toy Story is.

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