My fear with Jacare is if you remember his Strikeforce/DREAM days when he went to X-Gym to train under Rogerio Camoes (the giant black guy who is always with Anderson Silva at the weigh-ins), I thought he was carrying too much muscle then. Jacare and Feijao were walking around looking like a mini Brazilian version of Todd Champion and Firebreaker Chip. In the Whittaker fight and other fights where he couldn't dominate, he was sucking wind hard. I think the move to Orlando and adjusting to living here along with slimming down helped out his cardio a lot. While I think Jacare will have a much easier time at 205 than Weidman and Rockhold because he isn't as fatally flawed as those two guys, unless he's facing an OSP or someone with little to no ground game which is becoming rarer these days in MMA, those crucial takedowns he needs late are going to be much tougher to come by because guys are naturally bigger. While I'm sure he is use to training with bigger guys (I mean Feijao was as big as a house back then pre-USADA), it's much different in a live fight. It also doesn't help that Błachowicz is very well rounded and besides the Corey Anderson fight years back, never really got dominated on the ground. So if Jacare gets him down, he has to keep him down which is a lot to ask. He either has to do that or force Błachowicz to take a risk he doesn't have to like Marreta did back in February.
As for the rest of the card, Massaranduba vs. Bobby Green should be a banger. James Krause never has a boring fight really, and Sergio Moraes either wins big or loses big. Even though Silva de Andrade is not a natural featherweight, that's still a tough matchup for Barao to get back on track especially the Barao we've seen lately. Warlley Alves vs. Randy Brown should be at least decent. At the weigh-ins, Brown looked about a foot taller than Warlley. I'm intrigued in the storyline of can Ariane Lipski finally get into the UFC win column. She has potential but there is concern of whether or not she can compete at this level. She has a late replacement opponent so it's in her favor tonight. I'm not sure if I'm sold on Markus Perez (Joker makeup at the weigh-ins notwithstanding). He seems like a bigger version of Rony Jason and Godofredo Pepey in the earlier days of these Brazilian cards where they feel compelled to get him wins just as a local favorite. I know he has fought a pretty decent amount outside Brazil but he doesn't strike me as a real one to watch right now. He's also a Sao Paulo guy so he will have a lot of support for this card. Speaking of kill or be killed like I was talking about with Sergio Moraes, that is pretty much the M.O. of Paul Craig. Shogun is either going to knock his head into the fifth row or we will see another comeback submission from Paul Craig. Jared Gordon is a pretty soft touch for a ranked guy like Do Bronx, but then again, Do Bronx is another guy from Sao Paulo. So expect a night of many showcases.