RossWB

I think I missed out on this last year, but I'm back to give it another go this year... there are several movies I don't have a good feel for this summer. BOX OFFICE 1) The Lion King (Jul 19) 2) Toy Story 4 (Jun 21) 3) Detective Pikachu (May 10) 4) Aladdin (May 24) 5) The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7) 6) Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2) 7) Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Aug 2) 8) Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31) 9) Rocketman (May 31) 10) Men In Black International (Jun 14) 11) John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17) 12) Dark Phoenix (Jun 7) 13) Stuber (Jul 12) 14) Long Shot (May 3) 15) Child's Play (Jun 21) ROTTEN TOMATOES 1) Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Jul 26) 2) Long Shot (May 3) 3) The Lion King (Jul 19) 4) Toy Story 4 (Jun 21) 5) Detective Pikachu (May 10) 6) John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum (May 17) 7) Spider-Man: Far From Home (Jul 2) 8) Godzilla: King of the Monsters (May 31) 9) The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Jun 7) 10) Aladdin (May 24) 11) Rocketman (May 31) 12) Stuber (Jul 12) 13) Dark Phoenix (Jun 7) 14) New Mutants (Aug 2) 15) Child's Play (Jun 21) TIEBREAKER: Dark Phoenix $115,283,775

Thanks as always to S.K.oS. for organizing this -- it's always a lot of fun! I'm surprised (but pleased) that I managed to finish in the Top 6 this year -- albeit by the skin of my teeth...! Wow, that was close.

Good (?) news: only 13 reviews in for BAYWATCH. Bad news: it's already down at 13% on RT. Welp. I don't know if this will end up being the RT floor in our contest or not, but it looks like it will be pretty close to the floor... not good for me putting it 9th in my RT list.

Now it's up to 26%! Grrr. It's at least going to be down near the bottom no matter what, but I'm not confident in it being the worst-reviewed movie of the summer (which is where I have it slotted on my RT list). There will surely be a few movies from this list in the teens (or worse!) on RT...

KING ARTHUR creeping up to 21% with 39 reviews in. It can just stop that "moving up" nonsense right now.

KING ARTHUR at 15% on RT with 27 reviews in. That's a good start for folks (like me!) who dumped it low in the RT list...

Damn, forgot to make my picks here before GotG v2 came out... whoops. I'm sad I missed out on some easy box office points there, but I'll still give it a try this year... BOX OFFICE 1) Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30) 2) Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7) 3) Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23) 4) Wonder Woman (Jun 2) 5) Cars 3 (Jun 16) 6) Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26) 7) War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14) 8) Baywatch (May 24) 9) Dunkirk (Jul 21) 10) Alien: Covenant (May 19) 11) The Mummy (Jun 9) 12) Atomic Blonde (Jul 28) 13) King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12) 14) Baby Driver (Jun 28) 15) All Eyez On Me (Jun 16) ROTTEN TOMATOES 1) Baby Driver (Jun 28) 2) Dunkirk (Jul 21) 3) Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7) 4) Alien: Covenant (May 19) 5) War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14) 6) Atomic Blonde (Jul 28) 7) Wonder Woman (Jun 2) 8) Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30) 9) Baywatch (May 24) 10) The Mummy (Jun 9) 11) Cars 3 (Jun 16) 12) Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23) 13) Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26) 14) The Emoji Movie (Jul 28) 15) King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12) TIEBREAKER: Spider-Man Homecoming -- $247,000,000 I have no idea what to make of VALERIAN or DARK TOWER. I'm *hoping* that VALERIAN is fun and wild and a spiritual successor to FIFTH ELEMENT... but it could also be incoherent crap. And even if IS fun and crazy, it still may not do any box office. So I just stayed away entirely. I just can't get a read on DARK TOWER, critically or box office-wise.

Got my DVD/Blu Rays in the mail -- thanks! (And another thanks to SKoS for his efforts in running this contest every year!)

Hot damn! First at last! I gotta say, I did NOT see that coming at all when I made my picks at the start of the contest. This was probably the LEAST confident I've been in my picks since we started doing this contest... but hey, I'll take it. As always, thanks for doing this SKoS -- it's a lot of fun and a great way to liven up summer movie season. Thanks!

A-ha. Either way, the age thing always seemed a bit odd to me.

Honestly, it never made that much sense to me that Aunt May looked more like Peter's grandma than an aunt. If Peter was supposed to be around 15 when he became Spider-Man, presumably his parents were in their 40s -- or early 50s at their oldest. Not sure why May would have looked 20 years older than her sister (she was Peter's mom's sister, right?). Sure, you get age ranges like that in some families, but it's not the most normal situation...

It's not part of the game, but considering the bad buzz, I thought BEN HUR would be lower in the RT ratings -- it's holding at 30% right now, which actually puts it ahead of SUICIDE SQUAD (26%). It's still going to be a pretty big bomb, tho.

#1?! Wow. I was definitely NOT expecting that. Now to hold on for a few more weeks...

3rd place in the most recent update?! Madness! I couldn't get a good feel on SUICIDE SQUAD, RT-wise or box office-wise, when I made my rankings... probably a good thing I didn't list it at all.

I'm curious to see how the ASSASSIN'S CREED and UNCHARTED movies turn out. On the surface, those seem like more story-friendly games that would lend themselves to becoming movies more easily. But we'll see. Then again, I thought something similar about HITMAN and that's churned out two pretty dire movies. (Well, in fairness I didn't see the most recent one, but the trailers looked pretty damn dire...)

I had it at #8, which isn't great, but could be worse, I suppose. I might be hurt more by X-MEN, which had a pretty good but not great opening and doesn't look like it's going to be a $200M movie domestically. Then again, outside of DORY and maybe STAR TREK and the ID4 sequel, I'm still not sure I see too many other movies this summer that will be pushing $200M domestically. My #14 rating for ALICE on the RT poll looks like it could also bite me -- it's at 30% now, which isn't good, but there could easily be quite a few more summer movies below that...

Ah, okay. I assumed (wrongly!) that there had been screenings already. Thanks for the update.

How are there NO reviews for THE NICE GUYS yet even though it comes out in 11 days? That's a little worrisome. Although I guess its RT rating doesn't matter for me since I left it off my list and if it IS a bomb, that's good for my box office list... That said, I was really hoping it would be good.

The early reviews for APOCALYPSE are not good -- 27 in, 40% fresh. I'm thinking ANGRY BIRDS and APOCALYPSE are way too high on my RT list, unless there are a ton of dogs this summer...

I do love this contest -- thanks (as always) for running it, SKoS! I agree that this year looks trickier than ever... ROTTEN TOMATOES 1) Captain America: Civil War (May 6) 2) The Nice Guys (May 20) 3) Finding Dory (Jun 17) 4) The BFG (Jul 1) 5) Ghostbusters (Jul 15) 6) Jason Bourne (Jul 29) 7) The Angry Birds Movie (May 20) 8) X-Men: Apocalypse (May 27) 9) Star Trek Beyond (Jul 22) 10) Independence Day: Resurgence (Jun 24) 11) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (May 20) 12) Central Intelligence (Jun 17) 13) Now You See Me 2 (Jun 10) 14) Alice Through The Looking Glass (May 27) 15) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows (Jun 3) BOX OFFICE 1) Captain America: Civil War (May 6) 2) Finding Dory (Jun 17) 3) X-Men: Apocalypse (May 27) 4) Ghostbusters (Jul 15) 5) Star Trek Beyond (Jul 22) 6) Independence Day: Resurgence (Jun 24) 7) Jason Bourne (Jul 29) 8) Alice Through The Looking Glass (May 27) 9) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows (Jun 3) 10) Central Intelligence (Jun 17) 11) The Angry Birds Movie (May 20) 12) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (May 20) 13) The BFG (Jul 1) 14) Now You See Me 2 (Jun 10) 15) The Nice Guys (May 20)TIEBREAKER Finding Dory -- $283,534,489

I can't believe I finished 5th... I figured some of my early picks were going to doom me. Ha. As always, BIG thanks to S.K.o.S. for running this again -- you do a tremendous job, man, and it's a really fun contest. Thanks!

Run of the mill 16th? Damn. So much for wasting away at the bottom... ALOHA and TOMORROWLAND are going to murder my picks. In hindsight, I shouldn't have been so bullish on a Cameron Crowe movie's RT score -- it's been a while since he hit a HR. Hindsight says I should have seen TOMORROWLAND's failure coming a bit, maybe because of the so-so trailers, but jeez... Brad Bird had been about as can't miss as you could get 'til now. Bah.

So it's two days before release and there are NO reviews for ALOHA on Rotten Tomatoes? Yeah, that's not a good sign. And I put it at #7 on my RT list? WELP.

I loved the FURY ROAD trailer, but never imagined critics would love it as much as they did. D'oh! TOMORROWLAND definitely seems to bring Brad Bird's winning streak to a halt. Double d'oh. Those two movies are going to absolutely wreak havoc on my RT list. Damn.

Thanks for the catch -- I edited my post to include a tiebreaker.