2024 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool

[S.K.o.S.]

Back for yet another year, it's the Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool!

Below are 20 movies set to be released this summer. You need to make two lists:
 
List 1: Choose 15 of the 20 movies and rank them from highest to lowest according to the domestic box office gross you think each movie will make through its first 4 weeks (28 days) of release. Note that you're not trying to leave out the 5 movies you think will do the worst; just leave out the 5 that you feel least confident about ranking. Also, you don't need to guess how much money they'll make - just rank them. I'll be using boxofficemojo.com as the source for how much money each movie makes.
 
List 2: Choose 15 of the 20 movies (doesn't have to be the exact same 15 as your first list) and rank them from highest to lowest according to the rating you think each movie will have on rottentomatoes.com after it's been out for 4 weeks. Again, you're not necessarily trying to leave out the five worst movies.
 
Scoring: Your two lists will be compared with the actual ranks of the 15 movies, and your score will be the sum of the absolute values of the differences between the rank you gave to each movie and its correct rank. LOWEST score wins.
 
Tiebreaking: In addition to your two lists, pick any one of the twenty movies and post exactly how much money you think it'll make domestically, in dollars, in its first 28 days of release.  If two or more people end up with the same number of points, the person whose dollar figure is closer to correct (on a percentage basis) will be ranked ahead of the other.  If that still results in a tie, then the person who posted their entry earlier will be ranked ahead of the other. Also, if two or more movies end up tied in box office gross right down to the dollar (pretty much impossible, but just in case), or end up with the exact same rating on Rotten Tomatoes, the ranking of those two movies will be set to whatever is more favorable for each individual person.
 
The movies:

• The Fall Guy (May 3)
• Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
• IF (May 17)
• Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
• The Garfield Movie (May 24)
• Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
• The Watchers (Jun 7)
• Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
• The Bikeriders (Jun 21)
• A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
• Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
• MaXXXine (Jul 5)
• Twisters (Jul 19)
• Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
• Harold and the Purple Crayon (Aug 2)
• Trap (Aug 9)
• Borderlands (Aug 9)
• Alien: Romulus (Aug 16)
• The Crow (Aug 23)
• Blink Twice (Aug 23)

Deadline: The last day you can post your lists is June 5th, 2024, but any movie that has already premiered must be left off your lists. So, for example, if you enter after May 3rd, you can't put Fall Guy on either of your lists because it'll already be in theatres.
 
Editing lists: You may edit your lists after they're posted, but only up until the release of any movie that appears on at least one of your lists. Since time of entry is a tiebreaker, if you edit a list, make a new post stating that you've edited.
 
"The Adjustment Bureau" rule: Movies' release dates are not set in stone. If a movie's release date gets moved past September 30, 2024, and you have it on a list, it gets removed, and you get an additional number of points equal to your average points per movie on that list, rounded to the nearest whole number.

Prizes:  There will be some. TBA. We start with 3 Criterion DVDs, and the top three finishers each get one selection from that list. Additional prizes will be added when or if we hit twelve, fifteen, and eighteen entrants.

Good luck!

In so far: DreamBroken, The Z, The Natural, Rippa, hobo joe, Hail Sabin, S.K.o.S., Kuetsar, Elsalvajeloco

Edited June 4, 2024 by S.K.o.S.

[DreamBroken]

 I believe Ballerina was postponed to 2025.

[S.K.o.S.]

7 hours ago, DreamBroken said:

 I believe Ballerina was postponed to 2025.

Looks like you're right, and Box Office Mojo has the wrong year on the release date, which is concerning.

I'll replace it with The Watchers.

[RIPPA]

Pinned the thread so it doesn't get lost

I will also fix the black and white formatting of the first post when I get to a computer that doesnt hate me

[RIPPA]

WB has moved The Watchers up a week - new release date is June 7

[tbarrie]

On 4/24/2024 at 8:30 AM, RIPPA said:

Pinned the thread so it doesn't get lost

I will also fix the black and white formatting of the first post when I get to a computer that doesnt hate me

All computers hate you. Computers hate everyone.

[The Natural]

Kraven the Hunter moved back to 13th December 2024.

[RIPPA]

1 hour ago, The Natural said:

Kraven the Hunter moved back to 13th December 2024.

I almost posted earlier this week that I felt Kraven would end up getting Adjustment Bureaud 

[S.K.o.S.]

Replacing Kraven with Blink Twice.

I appreciate the release date news!

[Elsalvajeloco]

WB and David Zaslav is making sure all these projects don't see the light of day while Sony is trying to force Kraven the Hunter on people even if he means moving the release date every three months.

[DreamBroken]

I guess I'm jumping in first. Hopefully I'll do better than last year's.  Last year was actually the first time I saw a film while in the pool (Fast X), this year I'll see a few. 

 

Box Office
1. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
2. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
3. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
5. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
6. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
7. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
8. The Fall Guy (May 3)
9. Alien: Romulus (Aug 16)
10. The Bikeriders (Jun 21)
11. The Crow (Aug 23)
12. Trap (Aug 9)
13. MaXXXine (Jul 5)
14. The Watchers (Jun 7)
15. Harold and the Purple Crayon (Aug 2)

Rotten Tomato
1. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
2. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
3. MaXXXine (Jul 5)
4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
5. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
6. The Fall Guy (May 3)
7. The Bikeriders (Jun 21)
8. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
9. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
10. Alien: Romulus (Aug 16)
11. Blink Twice (Aug 23)
12. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
13. Trap (Aug 9)
14. The Garfield Movie (May 24)
15. The Crow (Aug 23)

Tiebreak: The Watchers: $29,236,435

 

[The Z]

I'm coming back to retain my title! 

Every year I realize anew how difficult this is. Well, here goes nothing: 

Box Office

1. Deadpool & Wolverine
2. The Fall Guy
3. Despicable Me 4
4. Inside Out 2
5. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
6. Bad Boys 4
7. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
8. A Quiet Place: Day One
9. Alien: Romulus
10. Harold and the Purple Crayon
11. Trap
12. MaXXXine
13. The Bikeriders
14. The Watchers
15. Blink Twice
 

Rotten Tomatoes

1. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga
2. MaXXXine
3. The Fall Guy
4. IF
5. Deadpool & Wolverine
6. The Bikeriders
7. Bad Boys 4
8. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
9. A Quiet Place: Day One
10. Harold and the Purple Crayon
11. Trap
12. Despicable Me 4
13. The Watchers
14. Borderlands
15. The Crow
 

Tiebreaker: Despicable Me 4: $250,000,000

[The Natural]

I've entered every year since this first started back in 2008. The other person who might is RIPPA. Last year I went from last place to third to claim a prize, I never expected that comeback. Think third is my highest placement, twice I believe. As ever it's a combination of doing research and winging it. I love this annual tradition here. It's fun/frustrating seeing which films do well and the ballot busters.

Box Office.

1. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26).

2. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14).

3. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3).

4. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)

5. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)

6. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7).

7. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28).

8. IF (May 17).

9. Alien: Romulus (Aug 16).

10. MaXXXine (Jul 5).

11. Trap (Aug 9).

12. The Bikeriders (Jun 21).

13. The Crow (Aug 23).

14. Blink Twice (Aug 23).

15. The Watchers (Jun 7)

Rotten Tomatoes.

1. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24).

2. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14).

3. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10).

4. MaXXXine (Jul 5).

5. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28).

6. The Fall Guy (May 3).

7. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26).

8. IF (May 17).

9. The Bikeriders (Jun 21).

10. Blink Twice (Aug 23).

11. Alien: Romulus (Aug 16).

12. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3).

13. Trap (Aug 9).

14. Borderlands (Aug 9).

15. The Crow (Aug 23).

Tiebreaker: 

Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26), $330 million.

Edited May 1, 2024 by The Natural

[S.K.o.S.]

Today's the last day to put Fall Guy on your lists.

[RIPPA]

39 minutes ago, S.K.o.S. said:

Today's the last day to put Fall Guy on your lists.

Guess I know what I am doing this morning

[RIPPA]

BOX OFFICE

1. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
2. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
3. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
5. The Fall Guy (May 3)
6. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
7. IF (May 17)
8. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
9. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
10. Alien: Romulus (Aug 16)
11. Twisters (Jul 19)
12. MaXXXine (Jul 5)
13. Borderlands (Aug 9)
14. Trap (Aug 9)
15. Blink Twice (Aug 23)
     

ROTTEN TOMATOES

1. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
2. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
3. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
5. IF (May 17)
6. The Fall Guy (May 3)
7. The Bikeriders (Jun 21)
8. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
9. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
10. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
11. Blink Twice (Aug 23)
12. Harold and the Purple Crayon (Aug 2)
13. The Garfield Movie (May 24)
14. The Crow (Aug 23)
15. Borderlands (Aug 9)

TIEBREAKER: IF ($100 million)

[RIPPA]

BTW - I am in for the Booby Prize again

I still owe JT his from last year but I am withholding it until he returns to the board (which BTW - he said he would probably miss this year's contest)

[The Natural]

Feel dirty doing the month, day, year format when the correct way is day, month, year. Bloody Americans ;).

[Hail Sabin]

Will try to do this later today to get Fall Guy on my lists. 

[hobo joe]

BOX OFFICE
1. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
2. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
3. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
4. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
5. IF (May 17)
6. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
7. The Fall Guy (May 3)
8. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
9. Borderlands (Aug 9)
10. The Crow (Aug 23)
11. MaXXXine (Jul 5)
12. Blink Twice (Aug 23)
13. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
14. Harold and the Purple Crayon (Aug 2)
15. Trap (Aug 9)

RT
1. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
2. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
3. MaXXXine (Jul 5)
4. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
5. Borderlands (Aug 9)
6. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
7. The Fall Guy (May 3)
8. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
9. IF (May 17)
10. Blink Twice (Aug 23)
11. The Crow (Aug 23)
12. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
13. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
14. Harold and the Purple Crayon (Aug 2)
15. Trap (Aug 9)

TIEBREAKER: Despicable Me 4: 300M

Edited May 2, 2024 by hobo joe
Forgot tiebreaker

[Hail Sabin]

1. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
2. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
3. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
5. The Fall Guy (May 3)
6. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
7. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga 
8. IF (May 17)
9. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
10. Borderlands (Aug 9)
11. Garfield Movie
12. Alien: Romulus (Aug 16)
13. Twisters (Jul 19)
14. MaXXXine (Jul 5)
15. Blink Twice (Aug 23)

Box Office is Above 

 

ROTTEN TOMATOES

1. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
2. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
3. The Fall Guy (May 3)
4. Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (May 24)
5. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
6. IF (May 17)
7. The Bikeriders (Jun 21)
8. A Quiet Place: Day One (Jun 28)
9. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
10. Borderlands (Aug 9)
11. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
12. Blink Twice (Aug 23)
13. Harold and the Purple Crayon (Aug 2)
14. The Garfield Movie (May 24)
15. The Crow (Aug 23

TB Deadpool 3 $316 Million 

Edited May 3, 2024 by Hail Sabin
Fixed #7

[The Natural]

The Crow will be a Rotten Tomatoes ballot buster for all of us if it turns out better than the low expectations people have for it. Looks like shit. I expect a lot of "Stick to The Crow original instead" reviews. I'll still see the reboot but not at the cinema. Only seeing it for completions sake having watched all the others.

Edited May 4, 2024 by The Natural

[S.K.o.S.]

No more Fall Guy on anyone's lists.

[RIPPA]

Since its already at 197 reviews - I hope y'all put Fall Guys on the higher side of your RT list

It currently sits at 85%

[S.K.o.S.]

8 hours ago, Hail Sabin said:

1. Deadpool & Wolverine (Jul 26)
2. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)
3. Inside Out 2 (Jun 14)
4. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (May 10)
5. The Fall Guy (May 3)
6. Bad Boys 4 (Jun 7)
7. Despicable Me 4 (Jul 3)

You have Despicable Me 4 on your box office list twice, at #2 and #7. Please fix