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UFC Fight Night on ESPN+ 2: Assunção vs. Moraes II (2/2/2019) - Fortaleza, Brazil (Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste)


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UFC Fight Night on ESPN+ 2: Assunção vs. Moraes II 
February 2, 2019
Fortaleza, Brazil (Centro de Formação Olímpica do Nordeste)

Raphael Assunção (136) vs. Marlon Moraes (135) - Moraes, SUB (guillotine choke), R1 (3:17)
José Aldo (146) vs. Renato Carneiro (145.5) - Aldo, TKO (strikes), R2 (0:44)
Demian Maia (170.5) vs. Lyman Good (170.5) - Maia, SUB (rear naked choke), R1 (2:38)
Charles Oliveira (154.5) vs. David Teymur (156) - Oliveira, SUB (anaconda choke), R2 (0:55)
Johnny Walker (205) vs. Justin Ledet (205) - Walker, TKO (spinning back fist and punches), R1 (0:15)
Livia Renata Souza (115.5) vs. Sarah Frota (123)** - Souza, DEC (split)

ESPN+ Preliminary Card:
Markus Perez (185.5) vs. Anthony Hernandez (184.5) - Perez, SUB (anaconda choke), R2 (1:07)
Mara Romero Borella (125) vs. Taila Santos (125) - Borella, DEC (split)
Thiago Alves (170.5) vs. Max Griffin (170) - Alves, DEC (split)
Júnior Albini (265.5) vs. Jairzinho Rozenstruik (241.5) - Rozenstruik, TKO (strikes), R2 (0:54)
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. (145.5) vs. Felipe Colares (145) - De Freitas Jr., DEC (unanimous)
Ricardo Ramos (135.5) vs. Said Nurmagomedov (135.5) - Nurmagomedov, TKO (spinning back kick and punches), R1 (2:28)
Rogério Bontorin (124.5) vs. Magomed Bibulatov (127)* - Bontorin, DEC (split)

*Forfeits 20% of purse for missing weight
**Forfeits 40% of purse for missing weight

Event Bonuses ($50,000)
Performance of the Night: Johnny Walker
Performance of the Night: Charles Oliveira
Performance of the NightJosé Aldo
Performance of the Night: Marlon Moraes

Attendance: 10,040

Cancelled Fights:
Alexa Grasso vs. Marina Rodriguez - Injury to Rodriguez (Hand)
Júnior Albini vs. Dmitriy Sosnovskiy - Injury to Sosnovskiy

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Does Moicano melt Aldo? He's a -135 favourite but this doesn't feel like a Hernandez/Cowboy type of fight where the vet uses experience and grit to undo a barely tested prospect. This feels like somebody winding down their career and in decline meeting somebody who's just about reaching their prime. 

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I worried more about the Stephens fight more than I worry about Moicano. I think Moicano is good and fairly consistent but I don't think Aldo has depreciated enough at least on offense to lose to someone who is a good submission grappler but only slightly above average in terms of striking prowess. I think it takes someone special like Holloway to put away Aldo in the manner that Holloway did. It would take Aldo getting super old between late July to now to really look out of sorts against Moicano.

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