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S.K.o.S.

2018 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool

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18 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

83 not 93

Natural up here trying to give me a heart attack

Fucked that up. Sorry, Rippa!

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I am a dummy and am doing this late, so I guess here we go: 

Box Office: 

1. Incredibles

2 Solo

3 Jurassic World

4 Mission Impossible

5 Ant Man

6 Skyscraper

7 Ocean's 8

8 Mamma Mia

9 Meg

10 Equalizer

11 Sicario

12 Purge

13 Superfly

14 Christopher Robin

15 Happytime Murders

 

Rotten Tomatoes

1 Incredibles

2 Mission Impossible

3 Oceans 8

4 Ant Man

5 Christopher Robin

6 Solo

7 Equalizer

8 Sicario

9 Skyscraper

10 Jurassic World

11 Happy Time Murders

12 Mamma Mia

13 Action Point

14 Purge

15 Meg

 

Tiebreaker Ant Man & Wasp 175m 

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Oh yeah - we have already hit peak disparity in total number of RT reviews

  • Infinity War - 330 reviews
  • Deadpool 2 - 263 reviews
  • Life of the Party - 115 reviews
  • Overboard - 60 reviews

Solo doesn't technically come out for another 36 hours and already has 152 reviews

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I really do need to submit my ballots earlier so that my ranking dips are not as dramatic.

That will probably never happen, though.

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Slight tweak to release schedule that concerns the pool

Crazy Rich Asians is now coming out Aug 15 (two days earlier)

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53 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

Slight tweak to release schedule that concerns the pool

Crazy Rich Asians is now coming out Aug 15 (two days earlier)

Crazy Rich Asians isn't in the pool.  It was up for inclusion for one of the last 2 spots but didn't get enough votes.  Got me to pull up the spreadsheet though... didn't get enough sleep last night.

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Yeah - I remember us discussing it. For some reason I thought it had made it and I just totally ignored it

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Fuck

I just watched the new Christopher Robin trailer.

I should have trusted my instincts at kept it at #2 on my RT list

FUCK

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56 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

Fuck

I just watched the new Christopher Robin trailer.

I should have trusted my instincts at kept it at #2 on my RT list

FUCK

YES~!

I'll be clawing my way up this fucking rankings list very soon.

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God bless that little bear - gave me so much joy as a child and now finding ways to do so in new ways as an adult. 

Also: saw the first 10 or so minutes of Incredibles 2 at Disneyland the other day and yea ... really happy I put that as high as I did on both lists.

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UPDATE 4 OF 20 - through May 24

Standings

1 [ 2] West Newbury Bad Boy - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak 0)
2 [ 1] Rippa - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak 0.009)
3 [- 3] S.K.o.S. - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak 0.19)
4 [- 4] The Unholy Dragon - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak 0.372)
5 [- 5] Super Ape - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak 0.504)
6 [- 6] The Natural - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
7 [- 7] King Leonidas of Sparta - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
8 [- 8] DreamBroken - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
9 [ 10] The Erotic Terrorist - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
10 [ 11] Kuetsar - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
11 [ 12] CSC - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
12 [ 14] Elsalvajeloco - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
13 [ 15] Jesse Ewiak - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
14 [NEW] JRGoldman - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
15 [ 17] ivpvideos - 2 points (2/0, tiebreak 0.175)
16 [ 18] SorceressKnight - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak 0.983)
17 [ 19] Paco - 2 points (2/0, tiebreak n/a)
18 [ 20] The Z - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak n/a)
19 [ 21] Ace - 2 points (2/0, tiebreak n/a)
20 [ 22] hobo joe - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak n/a)
21 [ 23] J.T. - 2 points (2/0, tiebreak n/a)
22 [ 9] Control - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak n/a)
23 [ 13] blitzkrieg - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak n/a)
24 [ 16] Niners Fan in CT - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak n/a)
25 [ 26] gatling - 4 points (2/2, tiebreak 0.168)
26 [ 25] EVA - 4 points (2/2, tiebreak 0.355)
27 [ 24] Hail Sabin - 4 points (2/2, tiebreak 0.53)

Box office

1 [- 1] Avengers: Infinity War - $605,194,638 (28 days)
2 [NEW] Deadpool 2 - $164,707,352 (7 days)
3 [ 2] Overboard - $38,765,168 (21 days)
4 [ 3] Life of the Party - $33,987,348 (14 days)

Rotten Tomatoes

1 [- 1] Avengers: Infinity War - 276/331 = 83% (28 days)
2 [NEW] Deadpool 2 - 224/274 = 82% (7 days)
3 [ 2] Life of the Party - 45/118 = 38% (14 days)
4 [ 3] Overboard - 17/60 = 28% (21 days)

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WNBB basically hit his tiebreaker dead on (he was off by 0.03%), hence the 0.

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13 minutes ago, S.K.o.S. said:

WNBB basically hit his tiebreaker dead on (he was off by 0.03%), hence the 0.

I would be angrier about this but Solo and Christopher Robin are going to dick me over

And just to be sure - don't you mean 0.003? If mine is 0.009 and he is ahead of me...

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7 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

I would be angrier about this but Solo and Christopher Robin are going to dick me over

And just to be sure - don't you mean 0.003? If mine is 0.009 and he is ahead of me...

0.03% = 0.0003.  I've got the formatting set up to round to 3 decimal places so it shows up as 0.

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Gotcha

Don't mean I am not still bitter.

Stupid teddy bears fucking me over again

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Marc Forster tends to hit in the mid-60s on RT more than anything else, with two films in the 80s and a couple in the high 20s/low 30s. I'm hoping he hits pretty close to the median on this one. Maybe end up like Kite Runner which did 66 for critics vs. 84 audience. Doesn't matter how much people like it as long as it's got some flaw that keeps critics tentative.

 

EDIT: I'm actively hoping for movies shooting for joy not to deliver. What have I become?

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The only thing that might save myself as one of the several folks who had Solo above Deadpool 2 on the BO list is the fact DP2 had a Covenant like drop in the 2nd week. I knew Solo was going to be at least shitty enough to not score high critically, but I still need it to do well commercially. $100-$115 million is very disappointing opening weekend but if it doesn't have a sharp decline, it can still surpass Deadpool 2 at some point.

 

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Yeesh at my placing of Solo on both lists.

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9 hours ago, Niners Fan in CT said:

So who had Solo underperforming?  

The lowest anyone had it on their box office list was 6th.  That was three people: Ace, blitzkrieg and King Leonidas.  6th might actually still be a touch too low?  Solo gets beat by Infinity War, Deadpool, Jurassic World, Incredibles, and what else?  Something would have to overperform.

No one left Solo off their box office list btw.

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10 minutes ago, S.K.o.S. said:

The lowest anyone had it on their box office list was 6th.  That was three people: Ace, blitzkrieg and King Leonidas.  6th might actually still be a touch too low?  Solo gets beat by Infinity War, Deadpool, Jurassic World, Incredibles, and what else?  Something would have to overperform.

No one left Solo off their box office list btw.

Ant-man and the Wasp would have the best chance. 

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13 hours ago, Niners Fan in CT said:

So who had Solo underperforming?  

I mean, anyone who didn't have it at 2nd/3rd. I think a lot of people saw it coming, but underperforming for Star Wars still means top 5 in a season, just not 1st/2nd range. And frankly, Star Wars films tend to have a longer tail than some other blockbusters. It lacks serious competition in the next couple weeks and being a film for the family gives it a wider audience than Deadpool 2. I'll be shocked if it doesn't outpace it by the end of the first month, honestly. 

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It might but the new estimate of $83M for the weekend is BRUTAL for it.   Worse than Justice League and this has nothing to do with the game but the overseas numbers are just as bad.  

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