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MLB 2013: July


Dolfan in NYC

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The Tigers acquired reliever Jose Veras from the Astros, tweets Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports.  The Astros received outfielder Danry Vasquez and a player to be named later, tweets Brian McTaggart of the Houston Chronicle.  The PTBNL will be decided on or before September 15th.

Veras, 32, has successfully served as the Astros' closer this year after signing a one-year, $2MM free agent deal in December.  In a big benefit to his trade value, Veras' contract includes a $3.25MM club option for 2014.  "We are pleased to add an experienced arm to our bullpen," Tigers' president, CEO, and GM Dave Dombrowski said in a statement. "Jose can pitch in a variety of roles, provides depth in the bullpen, and complements the roles ofJoaquin Benoit and Drew Smyly."  Veras has a 2.93 ERA, 9.2 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 0.84 HR/9, and 45.3% groundball rate in 43 innings this year.  He's always thrown hard and racked up strikeouts, but this year he's been able to trim his walk rate significantly.

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Logical move both ways.  Tigers are built to win now, and have had some serious bullpen issues beyond Benoit and Smyly, while the Astros have no need of a guy having a decent season in the back half of his career and are all about stock piling assets.

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Braves picked up Scott Downs from the Angels for filler. Even though he's just a LOOGY right now, that's what the Braves need. Avilan has been shockingly good against both lefties and righties, and could be used in more of a setup role as opposed to a specialist

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Logical move both ways.  Tigers are built to win now, and have had some serious bullpen issues beyond Benoit and Smyly, while the Astros have no need of a guy having a decent season in the back half of his career and are all about stock piling assets.

 

Their window is closing fast. I'm still amazed at the contracts handed out to Pujols and Fielder. Fielder is in serious decline and offers no worth on defense. You can eventually stick him at DH, but even then, do you really want a DH who is OPSing under .800? Not only that, but what do you do with a player like that owed as much as he is through 2020?

 

I think the 2014 MLB landscape is going to look vastly different than it does today. Except for the fucking Cardinals who can't be forced to relieve their death grip on the NL.

 

Fucking Cardinals...

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The Cardinals are so scary because of how smart the franchise is. They have a total of *four* free agents this winter: two that haven't played this season (Furcal, Carpenter), an aging OF that they have a replacement for in AAA (Beltran), and their closer (Mujica). They've also got an option on Westbrook that they'll probably decline, so essentially, they're going to cycle out two or three members of their roster and replace them with younger, cheaper players. After 2014, their only free agent is Motte. Unless Holliday or Molina gets hit by a truck, they have no bad contracts really. And in comparison to the other extensions signed by pitchers lately, Wainwright's deal is an absolute steal for them.

 

There are too many teams that spend like drunken sailors when that's not what got them to the dance (hello, Nationals). The Pirates need to not fall into that trap too. Their only free agents this winter are Barmes, Karstens, and Burnett, and while it would be nice if they brought Burnett back on something like 8-10M a year, they don't really need to make a huge splash. If they start sniffing around the marquee names out there, something is seriously wrong.

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The Fielder deal was such an obvious "WIN NOW" move.  Illitch desperately wants a World Series ring before he dies.

 

Throw in that Verlander has dropped a bit of velocity this year, and...  yeah, Tigers are a definite now or never type of team.

 

(Although the rest of the Central might be bad enough for the window to last a bit longer...)

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And my prediction from last year still stands, Cubs will be at .500 or within a couple games of it at the end of the season. This season has already been a remarkable improvement over last year. I'm really excited for when Javy Baez and Soler are brought up. I think both have a shot at playing on the major league team next year. Right now, Baez is drawing comps to an infield version of Stanton. Kid has ridonkulous power. He crushed two homers yesterday, putting him at 27 or 28 for the season. If he lowers his strikeout rate and gives a small bump to his walk rate, while continuing to hit at this level, he'll get the attention that Puig is getting this year.

 

Things get even better if the Cubs land Jimenez. With the Dodgers out of the running, it sounds like it's down to the Astros and Cubs.

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Wouldnt most teams spend this year because of the new TV deal? (Except the Marlins of course)

 

The issue with that is that everyone will be getting the same amount of money from the national deals. So yes, while a team like the Pirates or the Rays has an extra $30 million, so do the Yankees and Phillies...plus their built-in advantage with their ridiculous (or soon to be ridiculous, in the case of the Phillies) local TV deals.

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I meant the tv deals will rise all boats. Low revenue teams will still be at the bottom of the lists, but the salaries will be x% higher.

 

A good chunk of that money will go to extending players as opposed to signing new ones (SEE: what the Rays have been doing for years). Teams are getting smarter, and that along with the new CBA killing comp picks for rentals, is why the trade deadline is a lot more boring this year. We're two days before the deadline, and three relievers were traded today. Christ.

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http://www.bleedcubbieblue.com/2013/7/29/4515576/theo-epstein-bud-selig-game-theory

Regarding the CBA and trade deadline, I wanted to link to the article above. Yeah, it's on BCB, but it's not written by Al (if anyone is familiar) and is written by one of the smarter thread commenters. It's an interesting read about how the game's best GMs are bending the current CBA and landscape to their will.

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