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2017 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool


S.K.o.S.

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9 hours ago, Niners Fan in CT said:

Baywatch is on the climb.  Up to 20%.

Now it's back down to 18%!  Thank God...

Pirates also took a slight hit.  It's down to 29%, but that's still better than King Arthur,,,

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2 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

Pirates "only" has 78 reviews and Baywatch "only" has 70 reviews

So I expect each movie to get at least 30 reviews in the next 24 hours.

At least.  The average number of reviews for blockbusters on RT is around 250 or more.  

Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 has close to three hundred.

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Stats post!

So I've always thought that you need to do two things in order to win this contest: 1) Rank something differently than everyone else, and 2) Be right about it.  And obviously #2 is a lot more difficult than #1.

I decided to take a look at who ranked something different than everyone else, i.e. people who ranked a movie higher or lower on a particular list than any other person.  The list in the spoiler is sorted by the number of movies that each person has ranked higher or lower than anyone else.  It's a good snapshot of at least some of the things that your success is hinging on.  Some of you are already aware of some of these, like Rippa knows that he needs Wonder Woman to do really well on RT.

For example, next to _MJ_'s name it has "All Eyez RT 8 ↓", which means he has All Eyez On Me at 8th on his RT list, and the ↓ means he has it lower than anyone else.  Hopefully it's not too difficult to read.

If something's underlined, it means that the person went waaay out on a limb, because they have it at least 3 spots higher/lower than anyone else.

Take into account that particular rankings might not be as crazy as they seem, because people can leave different movies off their lists.  i.e. I might have a particular movie at 3rd on my box office list and you might have that same movie at 8th, and depending on what movies we chose to omit from our lists, it's possible that we could both have placed that movie exactly right.

 

ZERO
Ace
hobo joe
Paco

ONE
_MJ_ (All Eyez RT 8 ↓)
caley (Wonder Woman BO 9 ↓)
Elsalvajeloco (The Mummy RT 14 ↓)
Hail Sabin (Dark Tower RT 4 ↑)
J.T. (Baywatch RT 15 ↓)
Lacelle (Pirates RT 15 ↓)
Niners Fan in CT (Baywatch RT 7 ↑)
RossWB (Transformers RT 12 ↑)
Sublime (Capt Underpants BO 15 ↓)

TWO
DreamBroken (Pirates BO 2 ↑, Pirates RT 5 ↑)
The Natural (Dunkirk BO 3 ↑, Atomic Blonde RT 11 ↓)
Phantom Lord (Alien Covenant BO 14 ↓, Guardians RT 1 ↑)
Rippa (Wonder Woman RT 1 ↑, The Mummy RT 6 ↑)
The Unholy Dragon (Emoji Movie RT 7 ↑, Despicable Me RT 15 ↓)
The Z (King Arthur BO 10 ↑, King Arthur RT 8 ↑)

THREE
The Erotic Terrorist (Emoji Movie BO 4 ↑, Spider-Man RT 8 ↓, Dunkirk RT 6 ↓)
ivpvideos (Planet of the Apes BO 4 ↑, Despicable Me RT 5 ↑, Alien Covenant RT 10 ↓)
SorceressKnight (Guardians BO 6 ↓, Wonder Woman RT 12 ↓, Baby Driver RT 13 ↓)

FOUR
King Leonidas (Cars BO 12 ↓, Planet of the Apes BO 13 ↓, Alien Covenant RT 3 ↑, Valerian RT 6 ↑)
S.K.o.S. (Atomic Blonde BO 9 ↑, Baby Driver BO 10 ↑, Baywatch BO 15 ↓, Dark Tower RT 15 ↓)

FIVE
JRGoldman (Baywatch BO 4 ↑, Dark Tower BO 3 ↑, The Mummy BO 14 ↓, Spider-Man BO 7 ↓, Emoji Movie BO 15 ↓)
Kuetsar (Capt Underpants BO 5 ↑, Cars BO 2 ↑, Transformers BO 13 ↓, Cars RT 1 ↑, Valerian RT 15 ↓)

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I need the window of horrible between King Arthur and Baywatch to be wide enough to fit in The Emoji Movie.

Wonder Woman being under a review embargo makes me think that reviews will be mixed.  This does not fill me with confidence.

Captain Underpants is also under a review embargo.  This also does not fill me with confidence.

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10 hours ago, J.T. said:

Wonder Woman being under a review embargo makes me think that reviews will be mixed.  This does not fill me with confidence.

I wouldn't be surprised if this is precautionary after the cloud reviews put around BVS and Suicide Squad's opening weekends. Sure great reviews would help sell it but they thought BVS was incredible so they're erring on the side of caution.

 

A lot of reviewers have been positive in informal ways on social media so I don't know that I would expect reviews to be worse than mixed.

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UPDATE 3 OF 17 - through May 25 

The fix is in!!

Standings

1 [ 16] S.K.o.S. - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak 7.249)
2 [ 12] Sublime - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
3 [ 15] The Z - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
4 [ 18] J.T. - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
5 [ 19] King Leonidas of Sparta - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
6 [ 25] The Erotic Terrorist - 0 points (0/0, tiebreak n/a)
7 [ 3] JRGoldman - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak 0.004)
8 [ 2] Rippa - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak 0.043)
9 [ 4] Ace - 2 points (2/0, tiebreak 0.149)
10 [ 6] Paco - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak 0.277)
11 [ 7] caley - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak 0.34)
12 [ 14] Lacelle - 2 points (2/0, tiebreak n/a)
13 [ 21] _MJ_ - 2 points (0/2, tiebreak n/a)
14 [ 1] hobo joe - 4 points (2/2, tiebreak 0.096)
15 [ 11] The Natural - 4 points (4/0, tiebreak n/a)
16 [ 13] DreamBroken - 4 points (2/2, tiebreak n/a)
17 [ 23] The Unholy Dragon - 4 points (2/2, tiebreak n/a)
18 [ 8] ivpvideos - 6 points (4/2, tiebreak 0.076)
19 [ 5] Hail Sabin - 6 points (4/2, tiebreak 0.149)
20 [- 20] Elsalvajeloco - 6 points (2/4, tiebreak 0.709)
21 [ 9] Kuetsar - 6 points (4/2, tiebreak 0.915)
22 [ 10] SorceressKnight - 6 points (2/4, tiebreak n/a)
23 [ 22] Niners Fan in CT - 6 points (2/4, tiebreak n/a)
24 [- 24] RossWB - 6 points (4/2, tiebreak n/a)
25 [ 17] Phantom Lord - 8 points (4/4, tiebreak n/a)

Box office

1 [- 1] Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $313,315,927 (21 days)
2 [NEW] Alien: Covenant - $46,822,181 (7 days)
3 [ 2] King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $30,655,202 (14 days)
4 [NEW] Baywatch - $4,606,514 (1 day)

Rotten Tomatoes

1 [- 1] Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - 235/290 = 81% (21 days)
2 [NEW] Alien: Covenant - 188/264 = 71% (7 days)
3 [ 2] King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - 54/196 = 28% (14 days)
4 [NEW] Baywatch - 19/101 = 19% (1 day)

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