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2017 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool


S.K.o.S.

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It's the tenth installment of the Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool.  From The Dark Knight in 2008, to now!

Below are 20 movies set to be released this summer. You need to make two lists:

List 1: Choose 15 of the 20 movies and rank them from highest to lowest according to the domestic box office gross you think each movie will make through its first 4 weeks (28 days) of release. Note that you're not trying to leave out the 5 movies you think will do the worst; just leave out the 5 that you feel least confident about ranking. Also, you don't need to guess how much money they'll make - just rank them. I'll be using boxofficemojo.com as the source for how much money each movie makes.

List 2: Choose 15 of the 20 movies (doesn't have to be the exact same 15 as your first list) and rank them from highest to lowest according to the rating you think each movie will have on rottentomatoes.com after it's been out for 4 weeks. Again, you're not necessarily trying to leave out the five worst movies.

Scoring: Your two lists will be compared with the actual ranks of the 15 movies, and your score will be the sum of the absolute values of the differences between the rank you gave to each movie and its correct rank. LOWEST score wins.

Tiebreaking: In addition to your two lists, pick any one of the twenty movies and post exactly how much money you think it'll make domestically, in dollars, in its first 28 days of release.  If two or more people end up with the same number of points, the person whose dollar figure is closer to correct (on a percentage basis) will be ranked ahead of the other.  If that still results in a tie, then the person who posted their entry earlier will be ranked ahead of the other. Also, if two or more movies end up tied in box office gross right down to the dollar (pretty much impossible, but just in case), or end up with the exact same rating on Rotten Tomatoes, the ranking of those two movies will be set to whatever is more favorable for each individual person.

The movies:

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)
Alien: Covenant (May 19)
Baywatch (May 25)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)
Captain Underpants (Jun 2)
Wonder Woman (Jun 2)
The Mummy (Jun 9)
All Eyez On Me (Jun 16)
Cars 3 (Jun 16)
Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 21)
Baby Driver (Jun 28)
Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)
Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)
War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)
Dunkirk (Jul 21)
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (Jul 21)
Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)
The Emoji Movie (Jul 28)
The Dark Tower (Aug 4)

Deadline: The last day you can post your lists is June 1st, 2017, but any movie that has already premiered must be left off your lists. So, for example, if you enter after May 4th, you can't put Guardians 2 on either of your lists because it'll already be in theatres.

Editing lists: You may edit your lists after they're posted, but only up until the release of any movie that appears on at least one of your lists. Since time of entry is a tiebreaker, if you edit a list, make a new post stating that you've edited.

"The Adjustment Bureau" rule: Movies' release dates are not set in stone. If a movie's release date gets moved past September 30, 2016, and you have it on a list, it gets removed, and you get an additional number of points equal to your average points per movie on that list, rounded to the nearest whole number.

Prizes: Additional prizes will be added when or if we hit fifteen and eighteen entrants.  Top two finishers each get two selections from the following list, with a maximum of one Criterion selection; third through sixth places each get one pick from what remains.

BEFORE TRILOGY - Criterion dvd box set with Before Sunset, Before Sunrise, Before Midnight
BLOOD SIMPLE - Criterion dvd
THE PLAYER - Criterion dvd
HIS GIRL FRIDAY - Criterion dvd
IN A VALLEY OF VIOLENCE - dvd
THE INTERIOR - dvd
THE SALESMAN - dvd
TRAIN TO BUSAN - dvd

And the last place finisher will receive a dvd copy of XANADU.

Good luck!

In so far: SorceressKnight, The Natural, Sublime, DreamBroken, Lacelle, Kuetsar, The Z, S.K.o.S., Phantom Lord, Paco, Rippa, J.T., Ace, caley, Hail Sabin, hobo joe, King Leonidas of Sparta, ivpvideos, JRGoldman, Elsalvajeloco, _MJ_, Niners Fan in CT, The Unholy Dragon, RossWB, The Erotic Terrorist, CSC

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SBMP Hall of Fame:

In 2008, 9 people entered, and the top 3 got prizes:

1. Evil Ash
2. Nathan Davis
3. Brocklock

In 2009, 28 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. SoopArr AE
2. The Erotic Terrorist
3. RossWB
4. Genesis
5. Nathan Davis
6. MushroomJones

In 2010, 39 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. -MJ-
2. RossWB
3. Pavel6969
4. Brocklock
5. SoopArr AE
6. shoogbear63

In 2011, 42 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. Hobo Joe
2. scraylo187
3. -MJ-
4. Hail Sabin
5. shoogbear63
6. The Erotic Terrorist

In 2012, 39 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. blitzkrieg
2. IVPvideos
3. jesseewiak
4. DreamBroken
5. Patty1369
6. TrevL

In 2013, 32 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. The Damn Yeti
2. RossWB
3. Genesis
4. Death From Above
5. The Erotic Terrorist
6. -MJ-

In 2014, 36 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. -MJ-
2. Control
3. The Erotic Terrorist
4. Chaos
5. RossWB
6. The Natural

In 2015, 20 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. -MJ-
2. DreamBroken
3. Rippa
4. Hobo Joe
5. RossWB
6. Paco

In 2016, 23 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:

1. RossWB
2. JRGoldman
3. Paco
4. EVA
5. Rippa
6. ivpvideos

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  • RIPPA pinned this topic

I haven't humiliated myself by finishing at or near the bottom in one of these in the last few years (Two years ago my computer locked me out of DVDVR, last year a back injury kept me off DVDVR most of the Spring/Summer), so I'm back in this year!

PS: I might get to do a sneak preview of 'King Arthur' this week so I will have INSIDE INFO!

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5 hours ago, RIPPA said:

I will send you a PM too but I am down to toss in some prizes again. 

What he said.  I have a few movies still in the plastic from my Pile of Shame.  Happy to contribute to prize packages if there is a need.

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I'm only entering for Blood Simple so I can remember one of America's greatest actors as sweet and innocent and not looking like a lot lizard. Don't judge me.

THAT'S RIGHT, M. EMMET WALSH! GET IT TOGETHER, MAN!

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It seemed like everyone was too worried to go first here, and it didn't say to PM things...someone has to go first, so okay. 

 

BOX OFFICE:

1- Spider-Man: Homecoming
2- Wonder Woman
3- Despicable Me 3
4- Cars 3
5- Transformers: The Last Knight
6- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
7- Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
8- War for the Planet of the Apes
9- Alien: Covenant
10- All Eyez On Me
11- Captain Underpants- $55 million
12- Baywatch
13- King Arthur: Legend of the Sword
14- The Emoji Movie
15- Baby Driver


ROTTEN TOMATOES:

1- All Eyez On Me
2- Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
3- Cars 3
4- Dunkirk
5- Spider-Man: Homecoming
6- The Dark Tower
7- Despicable Me 3
8- Baywatch
9- Alien: Covenant
10- Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales
11- War for the Planet of the Apes
12- Wonder Woman
13- Baby Driver
14- King Arthur: Legend of the Sword
15- The Emoji Movie

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Fuck it:

List 1: Box Office

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)

2. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)

3. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)

4. Dunkirk (Jul 21)

5. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)

6. Cars 3 (Jun 16)

7. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)

8. Baywatch (May 24)

9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)

10. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)

11. Alien: Covenant (May 19)

12. The Mummy (Jun 9)

13. All Eyez On Me (Jun 16)

14. Baby Driver (Jun 28)

15. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)

So far box office wise and critically, MCU hasn’t gone wrong...now I’ve cursed it. Downey Jr. and Spider-Man draw.

List 2: Rotten Tomatoes

1. Baby Driver (Jun 28)

2. Dunkirk (Jul 21)

3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)

4. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)

5. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)

6. Alien: Covenant (May 19)

7. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)

8. The Dark Tower (Aug 4)

9. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)

10. Cars 3 (Jun 16)

11. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)

12. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)

13. The Mummy (Jun 9)

14. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)

15. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)

My biggest gamble in this list I’d say is my placement of Wonder Woman with the state of the DCEU.  Representing the comic book genre here! Don’t let me down ; ).

Tiebreaking:

War of the Planet of the Apes: $180 million

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Box Office: 

1. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)

2. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)

3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)

4. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)

5. Dunkirk (Jul 21)

6. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)

7. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)

8. Cars 3 (Jun 16)

9. The Emoji Movie (Jul 28)

10. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)

11. The Dark Tower (Aug 4)

12. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)

13. Baby Driver (Jun 28)

14. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (Jul 21)

15. Captain Underpants (Jun 2)

 

RT

1. Dunkirk (Jul 21)

2. Baby Driver (Jun 28)

3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)

4. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)

5. All Eyez On Me (Jun 16)

6. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)

7. The Dark Tower (Aug 4)

8. Alien: Covenant (May 19)

9. The Mummy (Jun 9)

10. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (Jul 21)

11. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)

12. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)

13. Captain Underpants (Jun 2)

14. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)

15. The Emoji Movie (Jul 28)

Tie-Breaker: Wonder Woman - $210 Million

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Box Office
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)
2. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)
3. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)
4. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)
5. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)
6. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)
7. Cars 3 (Jun 16)
8. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)
9. All Eyez On Me (Jun 16)
10. Alien: Covenant (May 19)
11. Baywatch (May 24)
12. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)
13. The Mummy (Jun 9)
14. The Emoji Movie (Jul 28)
15. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)

Tiebreaker: The Mummy: $68,741,142

Rotten Tomatoes:
1. Baby Driver (Jun 28)
2. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)
4. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)
6. All Eyez On Me (Jun 16)
7. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)
8. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)
9. Alien: Covenant (May 19)
10. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)
11. Baywatch (May 24)
12. The Mummy (Jun 9)
13. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)
14. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)
15. The Emoji Movie (Jul 28)

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On 24/04/2017 at 1:31 PM, SorceressKnight said:

In, even though I'm so usually near the bottom that there should eventually just be a memorial booby prize named for me for last place finisher,  receiving a really, really bad movie. That they have to watch and report on to DVDVR.

...at least then I'd finish next to last.

Hold my beer.

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Box office

1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5

2. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)

3. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)

4. Cars 3 (Jun 16)

5. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)

6. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)

7. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)

8. Baywatch (May 24)

9. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)

10. Alien: Covenant (May 19)

11. The Dark Tower (Aug 4)

12. Captain Underpants (Jun 2)

13. Dunkirk (Jul 21)

14. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)

15. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (Jul 21)

Atomic Blonde : 78 572 632

RT

1. All Eyez On Me (Jun 16)

2. Baby Driver (Jun 28)

3. Dunkirk (Jul 21)

4. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)

5. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)

6. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)

7. Wonder Woman (Jun 2)

8. Cars 3 (Jun 16)

9. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)

10. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (Jul 21)

11. Baywatch (May 24)

12. The Mummy (Jun 9)

13. Captain Underpants (Jun 2)

14. The Emoji Movie (Jul 28)

15. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)

 

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Never tried this before, but what the fuck, right? Laugh away, because I have no idea what I'm doing. . . 

$$$

1,Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 
2. Cars 3

3. Despicable me 3

4.Spiderman

5. Captain Underpants

6. Baywatch

7. Wonder Woman

8.Planet of the apes

9 Alien
10. The mummy

11.Dunkirk

12 Emoji

13. Transformer

14. King arthur

15. Valerian

Tomatoes:

1. Cars 3

2. Dunkirk

3. Guardians of the Galaxy 2

4.Planet of the apes

5. Spiderman

6.Despicable me 3

7. Wonder woman

8. ALien

9. Baywatch

10. Captain underpants

11. Emoji

12. Mummy

13. Transformers

14. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword 

15.. Valerian

Tiebreaker: Guardians 2 , $600 million. . . 

 

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On 24 April 2017 at 8:31 PM, SorceressKnight said:

In, even though I'm so usually near the bottom that there should eventually just be a memorial booby prize named for me for last place finisher,  receiving a really, really bad movie. That they have to watch and report on to DVDVR.

...at least then I'd finish next to last.

I tend to be the guy missing out on the prizes by one place, 2 or 3 times. I'd still take part if there's no prizes as it's fun, credit to @S.K.o.S. taking the time to do this every year and we see which films do/don't perform..

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Box Office:

1. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)
2. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)
3. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)
4. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)
6. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)
7. Cars 3 (Jun 16)
8. The Mummy (Jun 9)
9. Alien: Covenant (May 19)
10. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)
11. Dunkirk (Jul 21)
12. Baywatch (May 24)
13. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)
14. Baby Driver (Jun 28)
15. All Eyez On Me (Jun 16)

Rotten Tomatoes:

1. Baby Driver (Jun 28)
2. Dunkirk (Jul 21)
3. War for the Planet of the Apes (Jul 14)
4. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (May 5)
5. Spider-Man: Homecoming (Jul 7)
6. Alien: Covenant (May 19)
7. Despicable Me 3 (Jun 30)
8. King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (May 12)
9. Atomic Blonde (Jul 28)
10. Baywatch (May 24)
11. Cars 3 (Jun 16)
12. The Emoji Movie (Jul 28)
13. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (May 26)
14. Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (Jul 21)
15. Transformers: The Last Knight (Jun 23)

Tiebreaker:

Cars 3: $180,000,000

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1 hour ago, The Natural said:

Dunkirk feels a slam dunk lock criticially and box office wise as it's a Christopher Nolan film. I've now cursed it.

I don't know, man. Critically I agree, but box office I'm not so sure. Probably have it a bit too low, though.

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