2016 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool

[RIPPA]

Suicide Squad needs to be thankful Ice Age came out otherwise that would be an ugly ugly battle for dead list on the RT list

SS is 30% with 138 reviews

[J.T.]

14 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

Suicide Squad needs to be thankful Ice Age came out otherwise that would be an ugly ugly battle for dead list on the RT list

SS is 30% with 138 reviews

There is already a call from DC fans to have the reviews re-weighed as they believe a fix is in to favor Marvel Studios films over DC super hero movies.

My friends who've caught advanced screenings say that it is surprisingly mediocre but not totally horrible.

[RIPPA]

fans are stupid

[Kevin Wilson]

Kinda sad that Ice Age does so well overseas that I don't think they are going to stop making them. But what a surprisingly awful display this year, I think America has had enough of it.

[J.T.]

2 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

fans are stupid

Extreme fans are extremely stupid.

[Death From Above]

The Suicide Squad trailers all look to me like it's not a film I'm interested in but I still expect it to make a ton of money because it looks like what I imagine YOUNG PEOPLE find entertaining.

 

I'm Principal Skinner and of course I'm not out of touch, it's the children who are wrong.

[S.K.o.S.]

53 minutes ago, Kevin Wilson said:

Kinda sad that Ice Age does so well overseas that I don't think they are going to stop making them. But what a surprisingly awful display this year, I think America has had enough of it.

I'm leaning towards making a "no more Ice Age movies in the Summer Blockbuster Pool" rule to go along with the current "no more Adam Sandler movies" rule.

[J.T.]

20 hours ago, S.K.o.S. said:

I'm leaning towards making a "no more Ice Age movies in the Summer Blockbuster Pool" rule to go along with the current "no more Adam Sandler movies" rule.

I thought we might suspend the Adam Sandler rule with Hotel Transylvania until he cursed the sequel.

[J.T.]

21 hours ago, Kevin Wilson said:

Kinda sad that Ice Age does so well overseas that I don't think they are going to stop making them. But what a surprisingly awful display this year, I think America has had enough of it.

Skrat is the Wile E. Coyote of the modern age.  It saddens me to see his stock decline, but the Ice Age sequels overall are pretty boring. 

I'm glad my kid has grown up and doesn't drag me to see these movies anymore.  I think Ice Age would've been better off permanently transitioning to children's television.

[RossWB]

3rd place in the most recent update?!  Madness!  

I couldn't get a good feel on SUICIDE SQUAD, RT-wise or box office-wise, when I made my rankings... probably a good thing I didn't list it at all.

[S.K.o.S.]

UPDATE 13 OF 17 - through August 4

Standings
1 [↑ 5] ivpvideos - 60 points (26/34, tiebreak 0.165)
2 [↑ 3] RossWB - 62 points (26/36, tiebreak 0.347)
3 [↓ 2] The Natural - 62 points (30/32, tiebreak 0.48)
4 [↓ 1] JRGoldman - 64 points (36/28, tiebreak 0.137)
5 [↓ 4] bazzil - 68 points (40/28, tiebreak 0.34)
6 [↑ 12] Paco - 68 points (38/30, tiebreak 0.374)
7 [- 7] DreamBroken - 70 points (40/30, tiebreak 0.317)
8 [↑ 10] Control - 70 points (46/24, tiebreak 0.344)
9 [- 9] Rippa - 72 points (30/42, tiebreak 0.198)
10 [↑ 13] Elsalvajeloco - 72 points (40/32, tiebreak n/a)
11 [↓ 8] Skeeball Wizard - 76 points (40/36, tiebreak 0.079)
12 [↓ 6] EVA - 78 points (42/36, tiebreak 1.788)
13 [↓ 11] CSC - 80 points (41/39, tiebreak 0.079)
14 [- 14] Sublime - 84 points (42/42, tiebreak 0.662)
15 [- 15] Kevin Wilson - 84 points (34/50, tiebreak 2.27)
16 [↑ 18] Hail Sabin - 86 points (32/54, tiebreak 0.126)
17 [- 17] Death From Above - 88 points (34/54, tiebreak 0.356)
18 [↓ 16] J.T. - 92 points (42/50, tiebreak 0.606)
19 [- 19] S.K.o.S. - 102 points (56/46, tiebreak 0.825)
20 [↑ 21] King Leonidas of Sparta - 104 points (52/52, tiebreak n/a)
21 [↑ 23] The Z - 106 points (60/46, tiebreak 2.351)
22 [- 22] Lacelle - 106 points (60/46, tiebreak 5.404)
23 [↓ 20] SorceressKnight - 106 points (44/62, tiebreak n/a)

Box Office
1 [- 1] Finding Dory - $434,464,450 (28 days)
2 [- 2] Captain America: Civil War - $381,349,157 (28 days)
3 [- 3] X-Men: Apocalypse - $148,651,991 (28 days)
4 [- 4] The Legend of Tarzan - $119,451,210 (28 days)
5 [↑ 11] Star Trek Beyond - $117,701,364 (14 days)
6 [↓ 5] Central Intelligence - $112,118,303 (28 days)
7 [↑ 9] Ghostbusters - $111,911,936 (21 days)
8 [↓ 6] Angry Birds - $101,490,847 (28 days)
9 [↓ 7] Independence Day: Resurgence - $100,324,325 (28 days)
10 [↓ 8] The Conjuring 2 - $97,638,332 (28 days)
11 [NEW] Jason Bourne - $80,706,020 (7 days)
12 [↓ 10] Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - $78,747,502 (28 days)
13 [↓ 12] Alice Through The Looking Glass - $72,426,863 (28 days)
14 [↓ 13] Now You See Me 2 - $60,829,213 (28 days)
15 [↓ 14] Neighbors 2 - $54,190,865 (28 days)
16 [↓ 15] The BFG - $51,688,285 (28 days)
17 [↑ 18] Ice Age: Collision Course - $49,239,797 (14 days)
18 [↓ 16] Warcraft - $46,114,135 (28 days)
19 [↓ 17] The Nice Guys - $33,364,096 (28 days)

Rotten Tomatoes
1 [- 1] Finding Dory - 201/212 = 95% (28 days)
2 [- 2] The Nice Guys - 207/227 = 91% (28 days)
3 [- 3] Captain America: Civil War - 278/310 = 90% (28 days)
4 [- 4] Star Trek Beyond - 178/213 = 84% (14 days)
5 [- 5] The Conjuring 2 - 153/193 = 79% (28 days)
6 [- 6] The BFG - 168/229 = 73% (28 days)
7 [- 7] Ghostbusters - 201/274 = 73% (21 days)
8 [- 8] Central Intelligence - 100/148 = 68% (28 days)
9 [- 9] Neighbors 2 - 106/169 = 63% (28 days)
10 [NEW] Jason Bourne - 122/216 = 56% (7 days)
11 [↓ 10] X-Men: Apocalypse - 130/270 = 48% (28 days)
12 [↓ 11] Angry Birds - 59/139 = 42% (28 days)
13 [↓ 12] Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - 49/133 = 37% (28 days)
14 [↓ 13] The Legend of Tarzan - 68/189 = 36% (28 days)
15 [↓ 14] Now You See Me 2 - 44/129 = 34% (28 days)
16 [↓ 15] Independence Day: Resurgence - 58/181 = 32% (28 days)
17 [↓ 16] Alice Through The Looking Glass - 61/203 = 30% (28 days)
18 [↓ 17] Warcraft - 53/179 = 30% (28 days)
19 [↓ 18] Ice Age: Collision Course - 11/95 = 12% (14 days)

[Death From Above]

I like how Ice Age is a massive dog yet is still going to beat a fucking Spielberg movie.

[RIPPA]

Oof - I didn't realize how quite brutal Warcraft was in terms of our pool until right now.

[Kevin Wilson]

Wonder if we have a note somewhere of the highest grossing summer movie to not be available to rank, or if it matters since Secret Life of Pets will no doubt set the record anyway. (I say this of course not in a serious way as who knew that movie would do so well). What a shocker that movie was, it didn't even look that good in the previews.

[S.K.o.S.]

I'll take a look at that this afternoon.  Yes, Secret Life of Pets probably did set the record, but I'm wondering what it beat.

 

[S.K.o.S.]

Okay, inside the spoiler is everything that had a release date from May to August inclusive, from 2009 to 2016 inclusive, made over $100 million in its first 28 days of release, and was not available to rank in this pool.  There are 19 movies in there.  I've lost my spreadsheets for 2009 and 2013 so I'm going from memory on what was listed in those years, and I didn't try to reconstruct 2008 since I'm not even sure I put up 20 movies to rank in that year.  

As expected, Secret Life of Pets is #1.  #s 2 and 3 I remember being surprise breakout hits - in fact I remember considering #2 to include in the pool, and thinking the trailer made it look like a waste of time.  Definitely remember taking a lot of flak for not including #s 5, 7, and 15.  You could have given me 100 guesses at what this list would look like and I don't think I ever would have come up with #s 4, 18, and probably 14 and 10.  In fact I had to look up #18 to see what it even was, because I couldn't remember ever hearing of that title.

 

1. The Secret Life Of Pets $308,018,780 (2016)
2. Despicable Me $200,003,985 (2010)
3. The Hangover $193,769,820 (2009)
4. Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted $188,384,436 (2012)
5. Pitch Perfect 2 $164,715,385 (2015)
6. Ice Age: Continental Drift $137,314,052 (2012)
7. San Andreas $136,595,513 (2015)
8. Grown Ups $134,812,086 (2010)
9. The Heat $134,394,744 (2013)
10. The Help $125,756,194 (2011)
11. The Proposal $119,793,566 (2009)
12. The Conjuring $123,952,870 (2013)
13. Grown Ups 2 $120,140,931 (2013)
14. We're The Millers $114,293,231 (2013)
15. Bridesmaids $113,749,575 (2011)
16. The Fault In Our Stars $113,403,529 (2014)
17. Magic Mike $105,006,855 (2012)
18. G-Force $103,109,955 (2009)
19. Horrible Bosses $100,542,163 (2011)

[RIPPA]

The best part was in checking last year's thread you had PP2 on the list and then swapped it out for Hot Pursuit which might have been the biggest bomb of the summer.

AND of the two movies opening the same day - Aloha or San Andreas - you picked Aloha. I think the exact reasoning was CAMERON CROWE~!

[RIPPA]

Okay - I need to post this because it is too glorious

God Bless you SKOS

Quote

San Andreas was never on the list.  It's like, I saw Cameron Crowe (Almost Famous still gets brought up enough on here to make me think Crowe's name still carries some weight) directing this movie with Bradley Cooper, Emma Stone, Rachel McAdams, Danny McBride, Jay Baruchel, Alec Baldwin, Bill Murray, John Krasinski - a very deep cast.  Then I look at San Andreas and it's just the Rock and no other names of note.  Aloha sounded way more interesting to me.  There was a time where San Andreas would have been an automatic inclusion just for starring a wrestler, but... has Rock delivered anything really memorable when he has to carry a movie on his own?  In retrospect, if I'd left out Hercules last year, I doubt anyone really would have cared.  Granted it's almost certainly going to make more money than Aloha, but I also think some people are going to be like "I just saw the Rock in an action movie, I'm not interested in another one so soon."

 

[S.K.o.S.]

That all still makes sense to me!  I think later in that thread, I said something like "Even though San Andreas is making a lot more money, I'm STILL seeing way more talk about Aloha."

[Death From Above]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?view2=worldwide&yr=2016&p=.htm

 

Looking at this list, it's pretty interesting that only two films from the summer (Captain America, Finding Dory, and America is really a summer release only in film industry terms) is going to crack the top 5 for the year when it's all said and done. Have we sort of hit a wall where there are now too many planned big releases during summer and it's leading to them eating each other? The top 10 does have a serious outlier in a film that did like 99% of it's business in China, too. I guess that's a thing now.

[J.T.]

I think that there are still a couple of big time movies that may be left on the poll, but I don't think there is liable to be much movement in the rankings. 

Unless there is a lot of buzz, most people tend not to gamble on how the late Summer movies will perform and that can return to bite you on the ass.

Case In Point - Guardians of the Galaxy killed those of us who thought that Captain America: Winter Soldier would be the big superhero movie of 2014.

[S.K.o.S.]

Next update won't be Friday afternoon.  I'll probably be able to get to it on Sunday night.

[J.T.]

Holy shit, I am glad we did not vote Sausage Party onto the list.  The current 86% Fresh rating would've put me in the cellar.

[RIPPA]

It has 36 reviews - settle down

[Elsalvajeloco]

I just noticed I broke the top ten. 

This is some Immaculate Reception type shit.