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2016 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool


S.K.o.S.

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Last last year was 128 points

2014 - last was 144 points

2013 - last was 116 points

So those were all the pools on this version of the board. SKOS I assume would have previous years.

So right now - your goal is to come in under 144

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Looks like I only have the spreadsheets for back to 2010... at least without resurrecting my older computers to find '08 and '09.

In 2010, last place was 118 points.  In 2011, last place was 142 points.  In 2012 (the relatively easy-to-predict year) last place was only 96 points.

So 144 points from 2014 is very likely the all-time record.

 

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9 hours ago, Control said:

Since we're asking stats: how many points does #1 usually end up with? Has it varied or has it been pretty regular?

Natural and I are neck-and-neck!

2010: 72 points
2011: 62 points
2012: 39 points
2013: 58 points
2014: 62 points
2015: 56 points

2012 is the outlier year when everyone did really well.  Other than that, I'd say it's been pretty consistent.

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Man, what a weird year.

The Legend of Tarzan is at 25% (32 reviews). I certainly thought it would do a little bit better than that.

Thankfully the new Purge movie isn't in the game. It's actually rated fresh at the moment with 68% positive reviews. Who the hell could have predicted that?

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4 hours ago, The Z said:

.Thankfully the new Purge movie isn't in the game. It's actually rated fresh at the moment with 68% positive reviews. Who the hell could have predicted that?

The films of the franchise have markedly improved in quality since transforming from one-shot gimmick to serious dystopian social critique.

It's one of those jokes where you nervously laugh Ha Ha knowing that someone somewhere actually believes that sort of government is a good idea.

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Finding Dory essentially pulled ahead of Civil War in the box office race this past Tuesday.  Dory made $14.7m on its 12th day to put it at $311.2m, while Civil War had made $5.9m back on its 12th day of release to put it at $306.6m.

Spoiler

2ib1f6d.jpg

 

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Well, shit.  Down to the cellar I go since Dory is also going to punish the box office receipts of BFG and Tarzan and Civil War was my #1 blockbuster pick.

Who at Disney thought it was a bright idea to schedule BFG so close to Finding Dory?  Your biggest competition on opening weekend is coming from your own company and that competition is now the biggest money maker of the season!

What a nightmare this summer is.   Movies you thought were going to at least get lukewarm to slightly negative receptions are getting savaged and the 4th of July go to the movies hype is like zero. 

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2 minutes ago, J.T. said:

Well, shit.  Down to the cellar I go since Dory is also going to punish the box office receipts of BFG and Tarzan.

Who at Disney thought it was a bright idea to schedule Tarzan so close to Finding Dory?  Your biggest competition on opening weekend is coming from your own company!

Tarzan is Warner Bros. BFG was the Disney movie after Dory I believe.

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1 minute ago, Elsalvajeloco said:

Tarzan is Warner Bros. BFG was the Disney movie after Dory I believe.

That was a typo.  I was referring to BFG competing with Dory.

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22 minutes ago, J.T. said:

What a nightmare this summer is.   Movies you thought were going to at least get lukewarm to slightly negative receptions are getting savaged and the 4th of July go to the movies hype is like zero. 

Many of these movies (including the ones that weren't in this contest like Free State of Jones and Popstar) needed good reviews to get even a halfway decent box office showing. I think people have the sense now that the summer movie calendar is front-loaded so they can basically pick and choose now when you have 3 to 5 major movie releases a week.  If you're getting that many releases a week, that obviously means that distributors are releasing movies bi-weekly.  Sometimes, you get weird cases where a studio releases a smaller release than a much bigger release the very next week. For example, you have Warner Bros. releasing something from New Line and then put a WB movie out the next week or SPE putting a Sony Pictures Classics/Screen Gems/Tri-Star film before a Columbia Pictures release.

When I was doing my research for the contest, I was just blown away by that stuff considering it seemed like some of these movies were going to get cannibalized by a film from the same studio or a film that was likely going to get a way better critical reception. Then, you also get the sense that some exec was like, "You know what? Fuck it!" and tossed a few of their films to the wolves.

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UPDATE 8 OF 17 - through June 30

Standings
1 [- 1] CSC - 20 points (11/9, tiebreak 0.211)
2 [ 3] The Natural - 22 points (6/16, tiebreak 0.48)
3 [ 2] ivpvideos - 22 points (10/12, tiebreak n/a)
4 [ 7] DreamBroken - 28 points (12/16, tiebreak 0.271)
5 [ 4] Control - 30 points (18/12, tiebreak 0.369)
6 [ 8] Skeeball Wizard - 34 points (14/20, tiebreak 0.005)
7 [ 9] Paco - 34 points (12/22, tiebreak 0.374)
8 [ 5] EVA - 34 points (18/16, tiebreak n/a)
9 [ 11] JRGoldman - 36 points (20/16, tiebreak 0.135)
10 [- 10] RossWB - 36 points (14/22, tiebreak 0.142)
11 [ 6] bazzil - 36 points (16/20, tiebreak n/a)
12 [ 13] Sublime - 38 points (20/18, tiebreak n/a)
13 [ 17] Rippa - 40 points (18/22, tiebreak 0.279)
14 [ 19] J.T. - 40 points (8/32, tiebreak n/a)
15 [ 12] Elsalvajeloco - 40 points (18/22, tiebreak n/a)
16 [ 20] SorceressKnight - 40 points (16/24, tiebreak n/a)
17 [ 16] Death From Above - 44 points (18/26, tiebreak 0.152)
18 [- 18] S.K.o.S. - 44 points (14/30, tiebreak 0.991)
19 [ 14] King Leonidas of Sparta - 46 points (26/20, tiebreak n/a)
20 [ 23] Hail Sabin - 48 points (14/34, tiebreak 0.126)
21 [ 15] Lacelle - 48 points (30/18, tiebreak n/a)
22 [- 22] Kevin Wilson - 54 points (24/30, tiebreak n/a)
23 [ 21] The Z - 58 points (34/24, tiebreak n/a)

Box Office
1 [- 1] Captain America: Civil War - $381,349,157 (28 days)
2 [- 2] Finding Dory - $330,349,602 (14 days)
3 [- 3] X-Men: Apocalypse - $148,651,991 (28 days)
4 [- 4] Angry Birds - $101,490,847 (28 days)
5 [- 5] The Conjuring 2 - $91,443,538 (21 days)
6 [ 9] Central Intelligence - $79,437,074 (14 days)
7 [ 6] Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - $78,747,502 (28 days)
8 [ 7] Alice Through The Looking Glass - $72,426,863 (28 days)
9 [NEW] Independence Day: Resurgence - $56,157,073 (7 days)
10 [- 10] Now You See Me 2 - $55,739,445 (21 days)
11 [ 8] Neighbors 2 - $54,190,865 (28 days)
12 [ 11] Warcraft - $45,288,925 (21 days)
13 [ 12] The Nice Guys - $33,364,096 (28 days)

Rotten Tomatoes
1 [- 1] Finding Dory - 188/199 = 94% (14 days)
2 [- 2] The Nice Guys - 207/227 = 91% (28 days)
3 [- 3] Captain America: Civil War - 278/310 = 90% (28 days)
4 [- 4] The Conjuring 2 - 149/189 = 79% (21 days)
5 [- 5] Central Intelligence - 86/127 = 68% (14 days)
6 [- 6] Neighbors 2 - 106/169 = 63% (28 days)
7 [- 7] X-Men: Apocalypse - 130/270 = 48% (28 days)
8 [- 8] Angry Birds - 59/139 = 42% (28 days)
9 [- 9] Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows - 49/133 = 37% (28 days)
10 [- 10] Now You See Me 2 - 41/121 = 34% (21 days)
11 [NEW] Independence Day: Resurgence - 49/152 = 32% (7 days)
12 [ 11] Warcraft - 53/176 = 30% (21 days)
13 [ 12] Alice Through The Looking Glass - 61/203 = 30% (28 days)

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