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2016 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool


S.K.o.S.

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Box Office

1. Captain America: Civil War

2. Finding Dory

3. X Men: Apocalypse

4. Ice Age: Collision Course

5. Suicide Squad

6. Star Trek Beyond

7. Central Intelligence

8. Alice through the Looking Glass

9. Warcraft

10. Ghostbusters

11. The Angry Birds movie

12. TMNT: Out of the Shadows

13. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising

14. Now you See Me 2

15. The Nice Guys

 

RT LIST WHERE IT ALL GOES TO SHIT FOR ME!

1. Finding Dory
2. Captain America: Civil War

3. X Men Apocalypse

4. Ice Age: Collision Course

5. Suicide Squad

6. Star Trek Beyond

7. Warcraft

8. Central Intelligence

9. Ghostbusters

10. Alice Through the Looking Glass

11. Now you See Me 2

12. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising

13. The Nice Guys

14. The Angry Birds Movie

15. TMNT Out of Shadows


 

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I do love this contest -- thanks (as always) for running it, SKoS!  I agree that this year looks trickier than ever... 

ROTTEN TOMATOES

1) Captain America: Civil War (May 6)
2) The Nice Guys (May 20)
3) Finding Dory (Jun 17)
4) The BFG (Jul 1)
5) Ghostbusters (Jul 15)
6) Jason Bourne (Jul 29)
7) The Angry Birds Movie (May 20)
8) X-Men: Apocalypse (May 27)
9) Star Trek Beyond (Jul 22)
10) Independence Day: Resurgence (Jun 24)
11) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (May 20)
12) Central Intelligence (Jun 17)
13) Now You See Me 2 (Jun 10)
14) Alice Through The Looking Glass (May 27)
15) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows (Jun 3)


BOX OFFICE

1) Captain America: Civil War (May 6)
2) Finding Dory (Jun 17)
3) X-Men: Apocalypse (May 27)
4) Ghostbusters (Jul 15)
5) Star Trek Beyond (Jul 22)
6) Independence Day: Resurgence (Jun 24)
7) Jason Bourne (Jul 29)
8) Alice Through The Looking Glass (May 27)
9) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows (Jun 3)
10) Central Intelligence (Jun 17)
11) The Angry Birds Movie (May 20)
12) Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (May 20)
13) The BFG (Jul 1)
14) Now You See Me 2 (Jun 10)
15) The Nice Guys (May 20)

TIEBREAKER

Finding Dory -- $283,534,489

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Box Office:

1. Captain America: Civil War (May 6)

2. Independence Day 2 

3. Finding Dory

4. Alice Through The Looking Glass (May 27)

5. X-Men: Apocalypse (May 27)

6. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows (Jun 3)

7.Star Trek Beyond (Jul 22)

8. Ice Age: Collision Course (Jul 22)

9. Warcraft (Jun 10)

10. The BFG (Jul 1)

11. The Legend of Tarzan (Jul 1)

12. Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (May 20)

13. Now You See Me 2

14. The Conjuring 2 (Jun 10)

15. Central Intelligence (Jun 17)

 

Rotten Tomatoes:

1. Captain America: Civil War (May 6)

2. X-Men: Apocalypse (May 27)

3. Finding Dory (Jun 17)

4. Jason Bourne (Jul 29)

5. The Nice Guys (May 20)

6. The Conjuring 2 (Jun 10)

7. The Legend of Tarzan (Jul 1)

8. Suicide Squad (Aug 5)

9. Warcraft (Jun 10)

10. Star Trek Beyond (Jul 22)

11. Independence Day: Resurgence (Jun 24)

12. Now You See Me 2 (Jun 10)

13. Ice Age: Collision Course (Jul 22)

14. The BFG

15. The Angry Birds Movie (May 20)

 

Tie Breaker:

 The BFG $331.000.000

 
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BOX OFFICE

Captain America: Civil War
Suicide Squad
Independence Day 2
Alice Through The Looking Glass
Ice Age 5
Jason Bourne
Angry Birds
Ghostbusters
BFG
Conjuring 2
Central Intelligence
Now You See Me 2
Nice Guys
Tarzan
Neighbors 2

ROTTEN TOMATOES

Captain America: Civil War
BFG
Suicide Squad
Nice Guys
Independence Day 2
Conjuring 2
Neighbors 2
Tarzan
Alice Through The Looking Glass
Ice Age 5
Now You See Me 2
Warcraft
Angry Birds
TMNT 2
Central Intelligence

Tiebreaker: Now You See Me 2 - $111,000,000

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BOX OFFICE

Captain America: Civil War 
Finding Dory 
Independence Day: Resurgence
Suicide Squad 
X-Men: Apocalypse  
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows 
Ghostbusters 
Star Trek Beyond 
The Legend of Tarzan 
WarCraft 
Alice Through The Looking Glass
Jason Bourne
Ice Age: Collision Course 
The Conjuring 2: The Endfield Experiment 
Angry Birds 


ROTTEN TOMATOES

Finding Dory
Captain America: Civil War
The BFG
The Nice Guys
Suicide Squad
The Conjuring 2: The Endfield Experiment 
Now You See Me 2
Star Trek Beyond
Alice Through The Looking Glass
Independence Day: Resurgence
Angry Birds
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows
Ice Age: Collision Course 
Central Intelligence
Warcraft

Tiebreaker: SUICIDE SQUAD - $280 million

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It is still 5/5 in California so I hope I am not too late, if I need to take out Captain America just let me know. I'm gonna lose anyway.

BO:

Captain America: Civil War
Finding Dory
X-Men: Apocalypse
Independence Day: Resurgence
Suicide Squad
Star Trek Beyond
Ghostbusters
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows
Ice Age: Collision Course
Warcraft
Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising
The Angry Birds Movie
The Conjuring 2
Now You See Me 2 

RT:

Finding Dory
Captain America: Civil War
X-Men: Apocalypse
The Conjuring 2
Suicide Squad
Jason Bourne
Independence Day: Resurgence
Ice Age: Collision Course
Warcraft
The Legend of Tarzan
Now You See Me 2
Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out Of The Shadows
Central Intelligence
The Angry Birds Movie

Tiebreaker: ICE AGE - $161 MILLION

Edited by Kevin Wilson
added "MILLION"
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10 hours ago, Kevin Wilson said:

It is still 5/5 in California so I hope I am not too late, if I need to take out Captain America just let me know. I'm gonna lose anyway.

I'm okay with it, especially since you're putting up a prize!

That's right, Lacelle was the 15th entrant, and Kevin Wilson has agreed to spring for a Criterion blu-ray of CLOUDS OF SILS MARIA.

To any future entrants, Captain America: Civil War is off the table at this point, but you can still enter!  You're just picking your 15 movies from a list of 19 rather than 20.

And actually, Kevin Wilson was entry #18, so I gotta go back to the PMs and confirm that final prize...

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Thanks for the words, Natural and SKos.

It doesn't look like Captain American: Civil War is tracking as high as AVENGERS: ULTRON, but it'll probably have stronger word of mouth.

I think there are going to be some bombs and/or movies doing less than expectations this summer because there are too many big name franchises/sequels and all of them can't make tons of money.

 

 

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MOAR PRIZES!  My cup runneth over.

ivpvideos is contributing three "best of" wrestling blu-rays:

  • Best of Kana, aka Asuka (matchlist here)
  • Best of Hiroshi Tanahashi V1 (matchlist here)
  • Legacy of Harley Race (matchlist here)

That brings us to nine prizes total.  I'm thinking first through third place will get to pick two each, and fourth through sixth place will get to pick one each.

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Fuck, RT for Civil War is already down to 90%. I was smart enough to put Finding Dory above Civil War but X-Men Apocalypse may fuck me up if the reviews are too stellar.

I'm fairly confident that the RT blockbusters I have below my #3 pick should rank no more than 90% Fresh.

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That is why I really wanted to get in my entry to count CW, even if I am off one or two I am pretty confident it will be Top 2 in BO and Top 3 in RT. Not a lot of other movies I felt that confident about their spots.

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44 minutes ago, J.T. said:

Fuck, RT for Civil War is already down to 90%. I was smart enough to put Finding Dory above Civil War but X-Men Apocalypse may fuck me up if the reviews are too stellar

I flipped Dory above CW at the last minute when I saw that Cap was only at 92% before the US reviews since I figured it would drop some thanks to stupid Americans.

Of course - everything else on my list will be shit

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I forgot to do this last year.

I'll try and get something done tomorrow or Wednesday in time for this week. I hate I missed doing this prior to Civil War, which has probably claimed the #1 slot on RT if not in Box Office.

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Well the nice thing is that CW will have no affect on your list.

The downside is that you didn't get the free gimmie of having CW in the Top 3 of both lists

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20 minutes ago, RIPPA said:

Your early small sample size

Angry Birds - 8 reviews. 38%

Neighbors 2 - 26 reviews. 62%

Angry Birds sounds about right but I need that RT for Neighbors 2 to sink below 50%. 

It needs to be worse than Warcraft which I expect to be somewhat maligned and worse than Central Intelligence which I hope at least gets damned with faint praise because of The Rock, but so far not even Ice Cube or Will Farrell have been able to overcome the Kevin Hart = Co-Star shittyness.

I probably should've put CI second to last on my RT list.

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6 hours ago, RIPPA said:

Your early small sample size

Angry Birds - 8 reviews. 38%

Neighbors 2 - 26 reviews. 62%

The early reviews for APOCALYPSE are not good -- 27 in, 40% fresh.  

I'm thinking ANGRY BIRDS and APOCALYPSE are way too high on my RT list, unless there are a ton of dogs this summer...

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How are there NO reviews for THE NICE GUYS yet even though it comes out in 11 days?  That's a little worrisome.

Although I guess its RT rating doesn't matter for me since I left it off my list and if it IS a bomb, that's good for my box office list... That said, I was really hoping it would be good.

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2 minutes ago, RossWB said:

How are there NO reviews for THE NICE GUYS yet even though it comes out in 11 days?  That's a little worrisome.

I don't think so. The premiere is tomorrow and it's showing at the Cannes on the 15th.

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