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Oscars 2016.


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The 88th Academy Awards. Nominations on the 14th of January, ceremony on the 28th of February.

 

Will this finally be the year Roger Deakins wins an Academy Award for Best Cinematography? Deakens is 0-12.

 

Can Inside Out be the first animated feature to win Best Picture?

 

Leonardo DiCaprio wins his first Oscar?

 

There's a Quentin Tarantino film soon to be released, The Hateful Eight.

 

I gather there's talk Sylvester Stallone will get a Best Supporting Actor for Creed. Like Stallone to go on and win.

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Feel free to use this thread to talk about the history of the Oscars, the rights and wrongs. Such a topic brings debate up.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Picture
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Actor
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Actress
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Supporting_Actor
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Supporting_Actress
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Director

 

Mine would be something like:

 

Feel free to use this thread to talk about the history of the Oscars, the rights and wrongs. Such a topic brings debate up.

 

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Picture
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Actor
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Actress
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Supporting_Actor
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Supporting_Actress
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Academy_Award_for_Best_Director

 

Mine would be something like:

 

Right calls:
The Silence of the Lambs winning Best Picture in 1991.
Unforgiven winning Best Picture in 1992.
Robert De Niro winning Best Actor in 1980 for Raging Bull.
Anthony Hopkins winning Best Actor in 1991 for Silence of the Lambs.
Daniel Day-Lewis winning Best Actor in 2007 for There Will Be Blood.
Jodie Foster winning Best Actress in 1991 for The Silence of the Lambs.
Gene Hackman winning Best Supporting Actor in 1992 for Unforgiven.
Heath Ledger winning Best Supporting Actor in 2008 for The Dark Knight.
Christoph Waltz winning Best Supporting Actor in 2009 for Inglorious Basterds.
Christian Bale winning Best Supporting Actor in 2010 for The Fighter.
Jonathan Demme winning Best Director in 1991 for The Silence of the Lambs.
Clint Eastwood winning Best Director in 1992 for Unforgiven.
Martin Scorsese winning Best Director in 2006 for The Departed.

Wrong calls:
Forrest Gump Best Picture 1994 over The Shawshank Redemption. Sorry, Brian!
Gone Baby Gone not getting a Best Picture nomination in 2007
The Dark Knight should have won Best Picture in 2008. Films not nominated for Best Picture: The Dark Knight, WALL-E, Gran Torino and Let the Right One In. Oscars really fucked up that year.

Let the Right One In wasn't nominated for Best Foreign Language Film in 2008.
Clint Eastwood should have won Best Actor for his performance in Unforgiven.

Daniel Day-Lewis not winning Best Actor for Gangs of New York.
R. Lee Ermey for Full Metal Jacket.

Ellen Burstyn losing Best Actress for Requiem for a Dream to Julia Roberts' Erin Brockovich
Christopher Nolan should have received Best Director nominations and gone on to win for Memento and The Dark Knight
Martin Scorsese should have won Best Director for Raging Bull and Goodfellas.

No Best Director nomination for Ben Affleck's Argo still baffles me.

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Julia Roberts won an Oscar because of her push up bra.

 

Eddie Redmayne has some serious oscar bait this year with The Danish Girl. He won last year with another Oscar bait with the Stephen Hawking flick.

So, Paige might win an Oscar ?

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Agree with that Forrest shouldn't have won, disagree on which I think should have. Shawshank was a great, great movie. Pulp Fiction was an industry changing movie, for better and worse. But that's not so much an argument, since it basically will come down to Fuck Gump on both sides.

 

For my own add, I'm fine with them not winning, but Daft Punk was robbed not getting a best score nom for Tron Legacy.

 

Looking forward to seeing The Revenant and Hateful 8 soon, hope both are good enough to be serious contenders. I'm strangely cautious about Hateful 8 though, nothing about its promotion has grabbed me yet.

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Shawshank wasn't nearly as popular upon its release as it would eventually become. It barely made a dent at the box office, and probably lost money. It only became legendary after years of being played on TV all the time, rather like It's a Wonderful Life. Even if Gump and Pulp were both out of the picture, Quiz Show would've had a better chance of winning on the night than Shawshank Redemption did.

Can Inside Out be the first animated feature to win Best Picture?

I doubt it. It doesn't seem to have much momentum. Coming out way back in June isn't helping its chances, Oscar voters have notoriously short memories. And if they weren't gonna pull the trigger on Up, then they're not even gonna point the gun at Inside Out.
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Inside Out was better than Up.

I disagree, but there's a more important distinction between the two. Inside Out is about the angst of a teenage girl; Up was about the heartbreak of an old man. And the Academy's demographics skew HEAVILY in favor of the old men. (Think about the sheer number of awards which functionally serve as Lifetime Achievement nods for the longtime veterans of the screen.)
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It was one of the most stacked years for nominees, but i still think Rocky was the worst film of the five nomnated for Best Picture and it won.

(This does not mean it's a bad film. Just that the others, although Bound for Glory is very debatable, are so much better.)

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Eddie Redmayne has some serious oscar bait this year with The Danish Girl. He won last year with another Oscar bait with the Stephen Hawking flick.

Reviews on this are a lot more mixed than people were expecting.  Like when it was first being discussed back in the summer, it seemed like a sure-fire sweeping Oscar dominator, then upon release it was more "Eh..."

I keep hoping that Kurt Russell's role in 'Hateful Eight' is meaty enough to see him get a Best Supporting nod, though I suspect him ranting at a journalist about gun control will likely negate any possibility of that happening.  But he's one of my favourite actors, so I'd still love to see him get one.

I'm also hoping for a nice surprise nominee like Oscar Isaac or Alicia Vikander for 'Ex-Machina', or Blythe Danning for 'I'll See You In My Dreams', which are some of my fave performances I've seen this year.  I'd also love to see 'Fury Road' pick up some non-effect Oscars, like BP and Actress, but those are pretty unlikely.

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Indiewire's predictions for nominations, ranked in order of likelihood, are here.

 

They have Best Picture as follows:

 

The Sure Thing:
1. "Spotlight" (Open Road)
 
The Strong Bets:
2. "The Big Short" (Paramount) 
3. "Room" (A24)
 
The Close Calls:
4. "Carol" (The Weinstein Company)
5. "The Martian" (20th Century Fox)
6. "Mad Max: Fury Road" (Warner Brothers)
7. "The Revenant" (20th Century Fox)
8. "Star Wars: The Force Awakens" (Disney)
9. "Bridge of Spies" (Disney)
10. "Straight Outta Compton" (Universal)
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Titanic winning sucked. It was a good movie, and it made a buttload of money, but L.A. Confidential was a much better movie, and I think you could make arguments for all of the other three (As Good as it Gets, Good Will Hunting, The Full Monty) being better too.
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  • 3 weeks later...

Gump winning was a joke.

Shawshank winning would have been every bit as big of a joke.

But I'm hurt more by the notion Silence of the Lambs deserved to win. #BeautyandtheBeast4Life

 

I really like Beauty of the Beast, made me cry when I first watched it. I prefer Silence of the Lambs. Disagree with you on Shawshank.

 

Shawshank wasn't nearly as popular upon its release as it would eventually become. It barely made a dent at the box office, and probably lost money. It only became legendary after years of being played on TV all the time, rather like It's a Wonderful Life. Even if Gump and Pulp were both out of the picture, Quiz Show would've had a better chance of winning on the night than Shawshank Redemption did.

 

Can Inside Out be the first animated feature to win Best Picture?

I doubt it. It doesn't seem to have much momentum. Coming out way back in June isn't helping its chances, Oscar voters have notoriously short memories. And if they weren't gonna pull the trigger on Up, then they're not even gonna point the gun at Inside Out.

 

 

I don't think Inside Out will win Best Picture either. If any should have, WALL-E but it wasn't the best film that year, it was The Dark Knight and that wasn't even nominated. The Oscars screwed up (there's a surprise) some of the nominees/winners for films released in 2008.

 

Shocker.  Roger Ebert.com's editors vote 'Fury Road' as #1 movie of 2015.  Not something I was expecting.

 

It will get a Best Picture nom, for sure.

 

I'm not sure Mad Max: Fury Road will.

 

---

 

A reminder the nominations are announced today.

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So Inside Out didn't get a Best Picture nomination. Sylvester Stallone gets a Best Supporting Actor nomination for Creed. Half listening to the announcements, it sounded like Sly got the biggest cheers On paper that looks a tough category. Be surprised if Leonardo DiCaprio doesn't win Best Actor for The Revenant. I forgot until the other day Leo was nominated for Blood Diamond in 2006 instead of The Departed. Did he have a better shot with the latter as it won Best Picture and finally Best Director for Martin Scorsese? 

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