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2014 Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool


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This horrible banner means it's that time of year again!

 

Below are 20 movies set to be released this summer. You need to make two lists:

 

List 1: Choose 15 of the 20 movies and rank them from highest to lowest according to the domestic box office gross you think each movie will make through its first 4 weeks (28 days) of release. Note that you're not trying to leave out the 5 movies you think will do the worst; just leave out the 5 that you feel least confident about ranking. Also, you don't need to guess how much money they'll make - just rank them. I'll be using boxofficemojo.com as the source for how much money each movie makes.

 

List 2: Choose 15 of the 20 movies (doesn't have to be the exact same 15 as your first list) and rank them from highest to lowest according to the rating you think each movie will have on rottentomatoes.com after it's been out for 4 weeks. Again, you're not necessarily trying to leave out the five worst movies.

 

Scoring: Your two lists will be compared with the actual ranks of the 15 movies, and your score will be the sum of the absolute values of the differences between the rank you gave to each movie and its correct rank. LOWEST score wins.

 

Tiebreaking: In addition to your two lists, pick any one of the twenty movies and post exactly how much money you think it'll make domestically, in dollars, in its first 28 days of release.  If two or more people end up with the same number of points, the person whose dollar figure is closer to correct (on a percentage basis) will be ranked ahead of the other.  If that still results in a tie, then the person who posted their entry earlier will be ranked ahead of the other. Also, if two or more movies end up tied in box office gross right down to the dollar (pretty much impossible, but just in case), or end up with the exact same rating on Rotten Tomatoes, the ranking of those two movies will be set to whatever is more favorable for each individual person.

 

The movies:
The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (May 2)
Neighbors (May 9)
Godzilla (May 16)
X-Men: Days of Future Past (May 23)

Maleficent (May 30)
A Million Ways To Die In The West (May 30)

Edge of Tomorrow (Jun 6)
22 Jump Street (Jun 13)
How to Train Your Dragon 2 (Jun 13)
Transformers: Age of Extinction (Jun 27)
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Jul 11)
The Purge: Anarchy (Jul 18)
Jupiter Ascending (Jul 18)
Hercules (Jul 25)
Lucy (Jul 25)

Guardians of the Galaxy (Aug 1)
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (Aug 8)
The Giver (Aug 15)
The Expendables 3 (Aug 15)
Sin City: A Dame To Kill For (Aug 22)

 

Deadline: The last day you can post your lists is May 29th, 2014, but any movie that has already premiered must be left off your lists. So, for example, if you enter after May 2nd, you can't put Spider-Man 2 on either of your lists because it'll already be in theatres.

 

Editing lists: You may edit your lists after they're posted, but only up until the release of any movie that appears on at least one of your lists. Since time of entry is a tiebreaker, if you edit a list, make a new post stating that you've edited.

 

"The Adjustment Bureau" rule: Movies' release dates are not set in stone. If a movie's release date gets moved past September 30, 2014, and you have it on a list, it gets removed, and you get an additional number of points equal to your average points per movie on that list, rounded to the nearest whole number.

 

Prizes: The prize pool will consist of three Criterion dvds (or maybe blu-rays? Pretty much everyone can play blu-rays now, right?), GODZILLA, 3:10 TO YUMA and SCANNERS, along with copies of three of my favorite movies from 2013, THE CRASH REEL, OMAR and GIMME THE LOOT. (One movie was added to the prize pool when we hit 12, 15 and 18 entrants.)
The first-place finisher will get to choose their prize out of all the available movies, second place will get to pick from what's left, and so on.

 

Good luck!

 

In so far:

MushroomJones

Ligerbusa

Super Ape

Sublime

Cameron Swift

The Veeg

The Natural

The Z

SorceressKnight

Control

Rippa

Death From Above

ivpvideos

hobo joe

Dr. Bathroom

Niners Fan in CT

JRGoldman

DreamBroken

The Damn Yeti

RossWB

caley

jaedmc

Mike Zeidler

Ultimo The Great

Kevin Wilson

blitzkrieg

Elsalvajeloco

CSC

Raziel403

Paco

pipGofern

The Erotic Terrorist

Hoffman

Chaos

Suicide King of Spades

-MJ-

Lacelle

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SBMP Hall of Fame:

 

In 2008, 9 people entered, and the top 3 got prizes:
1. Evil Ash
2. Nathan Davis
3. Brocklock

 

In 2009, 28 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:
1. SoopArr AE
2. The Erotic Terrorist
3. RossWB
4. Genesis
5. Nathan Davis
6. MushroomJones

 

In 2010, 39 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:
1. -MJ-
2. RossWB
3. Pavel6969
4. Brocklock
5. SoopArr AE
6. shoogbear63

 

In 2011, 42 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:
1. Hobo Joe
2. scraylo187
3. -MJ-
4. Hail Sabin
5. shoogbear63
6. The Erotic Terrorist

 

In 2012, 39 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:
1. blitzkrieg
2. IVPvideos
3. jesseewiak
4. DreamBroken
5. Patty1369
6. TrevL

 

In 2013, 32 people entered, and the top 6 got prizes:
1. The Damn Yeti
2. RossWB
3. Genesis
4. Death From Above
5. The Erotic Terrorist
6. -MJ-

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To research or to not research - both methods have lead to me sucking.

 

Can I just submit a list that has HTTYD2 on top of both and call it a day?

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To research or to not research - both methods have lead to me sucking.

 

Can I just submit a list that has HTTYD2 on top of both and call it a day?

 

I have been cerebral about this twice and have gotten boned. I am just going to pick random shit out of a hat.

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Good, in first, going with my gut. I did very little research, just to see how much 21 Jump Street made. Good luck, everyone!

 

Box Office

1. Amazing Spider-Man 2

2. Guardians of the Galaxy

3. Transformers: Age of Extinction

4. Godzilla

5. A Million Ways to Die in the West

6. Hercules

7. X-Men: Days of Future Past

8. Jupiter Ascending

9. How to Train Your Dragon 2

10. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

11. Malificent

12. 22 Jump Street

13. Neighbors

14. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

15. the Expendables 3

 

Rotten Tomatoes

1. Jupiter Ascending

2. Godzilla

3. Guardians of the Galaxy

4. How to Train Your Dragon 2

5. Amazing Spider-Man 2

6. A Million Ways to Die in the West

7. 22 Jump Street

8. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

9. Neighbors

10. Hercules

11. X-Men: Days of Future Past

12. the Expendables 3

13. Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

 

Tie breaker - Guardians of the Galaxy $200 million

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MushroomJones, you need the tiebreaker too.

 

 Tiebreaking: In addition to your two lists, pick any one of the twenty movies and post exactly how much money you think it'll make domestically, in dollars, in its first 28 days of release.

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Box Office

1. Transformers: Age of Extinction

2. Amazing Spider-Man 2

3. How to Train Your Dragon 2

4. Maleficent

5. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

6. Guardians of the Galaxy

7. 22 Jump Street

8. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

9. X-Men: Days of Future Past

10. Edge of Tomorrow

11. Hercules

12. The Expendables 3

13. Sin City: A Dame To Kill For

14. Lucy

15. The Purge: Anarchy

 

Rotten Tomatoes

1. How to Train Your Dragon 2

2. 22 Jump Street

3. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

4. Guardians of the Galaxy

5. Godzilla

6. X-Men: Days of Future Past

7. Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

8. Amazing Spider-Man 2

9. Edge of Tomorrow

10. Lucy

11. The Expendables 3

12. Hercules

13. The Purge: Anarchy

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

 

Tiebreaker: Expendables 3 ($75, 824, 602)

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Oh, mercy, this is going to be traumatic for all of us.

 

BOX OFFICE~!

 

1.) Transformers: Age of Extinction

2.) X-Men: Days of Future Past

3.) How to Train Your Dragon 2

4.) The Amazing Spider-Man 2

5.) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

6.) Maleficent

7.) Guardians of the Galaxy

8.) Godzilla

9.) Sin City: A Dame To Kill For

10.) The Giver

11.) The Purge: Anarchy

12.) Edge of Tomorrow

13.) Lucy

14.) Jupiter Ascending

15.) Neighbors

 

TO-MAH-TOS~!

 

1.) Sin City: A Dame To Kill For

2.) X-Men: Days of Future Past

3.) The Giver

4.) Godzilla

5.) Guardians of the Galaxy

6.) The Expendables 3

7.) 22 Jump Street

8.) Maleficent

9.) The Amazing Spider-Man 2

10.) A Million Ways To Die In The West

11.) How to Train Your Dragon 2

12.) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

13.) The Purge: Anarchy

14.) Transformers: Age of Extinction

15.) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

 

THE BREAKER OF TIES~!

 

Transformers: Age of Extinction ($350 million)

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Gonna try this out for the first time. Here goes nothing.

 

Box Office:

1. How to Train Your Dragon 2
2. The Amazing Spider-Man 2
3. Transformers: Age of Extinction
4. Maleficent
5. X-Men: Days of Future Past
6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
7. Godzilla
8. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
9. Guardians of the Galaxy
10. Neighbors
11. Hercules
12. Lucy
13. 22 Jump Street
14. The Expendables 3
15. Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

Rotten Tomatoes:

1. Maleficent
2. Lucy
3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
4. The Giver
5. Amazing Spider-Man 2
6. Neighbors
7. X-Men: Days of Future Past
8. Guardians of the Galaxy
9. Godzilla
10. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
11. Transformers: Age of Extinction
12. 22 Jump Street
13. Jupiter Ascending
14. Hercules
15. Edge of Tomorrow

Tie Breaker: Hercules ($88 million)

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BOX OFFICE

 

1. Godzilla
2. How To Train Your Dragon 2
3. X-Men: Days of Future Past
4. Guardians of the Galaxy
5. Amazing Spiderman 2
6. Transformers: Age of Extinction
7. 22 Jump Street
8. Expendables 3
9. Jupiter Ascending
10. Neighbors
11. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

12. Lucy
13. Hercules
14. The Purge: Anarchy
15. The Giver

 

ROTTEN TOMATOES

 

1. Godzilla
2. X-Men: Days of Future Past
3. Guardians of the Galaxy
4. How To Train Your Dragon 2
5. Neighbors
6. Sin City: A Dame To Kill For
7. Edge of Tomorrow
8. Amazing Spiderman 2
9. A Million Ways to Die In The West
10. Expendables 3
11. 22 Jump Street
12. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
13. Maleficent
14. Jupiter Ascending
15. Hercules

 

TIE BREAKER - X-Men ($180m)

 

This seems harder this year as it looks to me like there are gonna be a lot of turkeys this summer, more so critically, because the great unwashed public will generally pay to see any old shite in the summer.

 

Now off to imdb to actually see what The Purge, The Giver and Lucy are all about.

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BOX OFFICE

X-Men: Days of Future Past (May 23)

Guardians of the Galaxy (Aug 1)

Transformers: Age of Extinction (Jun 27)

How to Train Your Dragon 2 (Jun 13)

Maleficent (May 30)

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (May 2)

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (Aug 8)

22 Jump Street (Jun 13)

Godzilla (May 16)

A Million Ways To Die In The West (May 30)

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Jul 11)

Neighbors (May 9)

The Expendables 3 (Aug 15)

Jupiter Ascending (Jul 18)

Edge of Tomorrow (Jun 6)

 

 

 

RT

The Giver (Aug 15)

Guardians of the Galaxy (Aug 1)

How to Train Your Dragon 2 (Jun 13)

Maleficent (May 30)

Lucy (Aug 8)

22 Jump Street (Jun 13)

Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Jul 11)

Neighbors (May 9)

Godzilla (May 16)

Sin City: A Dame To Kill For (Aug 22)

The Expendables 3 (Aug 15)

Hercules (Jul 25)

The Purge: Anarchy (Jul 18)

A Million Ways To Die In The West (May 30)

Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (Aug 8)

 

TIEBREAKER:

Edge of Tomorrow, $35 million. I like Tom Cruise, but isn't it enough already with this guy?

 

 

 

Edited to move "Neighbors" down because on further review I don't feel that bullish about it.

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To research or to not research - both methods have lead to me sucking.

 

Can I just submit a list that has HTTYD2 on top of both and call it a day?

 

I've tried both methods and usually I haven't done well with either! Think I'm now the only one who's taken part in every Summer Blockbuster Movie Pool. Thanks for running it again, Suicide King of Spades.

 

This looks much harder than last year. A lot of movies in this one that could turn out as a surprise hit or a huge flop.

I think I'll need at least a day or two to think about this.

 

Agree that this is hard to call.

 

Box Office

1. Transformers: Age of Extinction

2. How to Train Your Dragon 2

3. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

4. Guardians of the Galaxy

5. X-Men: Days of Future Past

6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes7. Maleficent

8. 22 Jump Street

9. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

10 Hercules

11. The Expendables 3

12. Sin City: A Dame To Kill For

13. The Purge: Anarchy

14. Lucy

15. Edge of Tomorrow

 

Rotten Tomatoes

1. How to Train Your Dragon 2

2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

3. Guardians of the Galaxy

4. Godzilla

5. X-Men: Days of Future Past

6. Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

7. 22 Jump Street

8. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

9. Edge of Tomorrow

10. Lucy

11. The Purge: Anarchy

12. The Expendables 3

13. Hercules

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

 

Tiebreaker: Guardians of the Galaxy (205 million)

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Box Office:

1. Transformers: Age of Extinction

2. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

3. How to Train Your Dragon 2

4. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

5. X-Men: Days of Future Past

6. Guardians of the Galaxy

7. A Million Ways To Die In The West

8 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

9. Neighbors

10. 22 Jump Street

11. Lucy

12. The Expendables 3

13. Sin City: A Dame To Kill For

14. Hercules

15. The Purge: Anarchy

 

Rotten Tomatoes:

1. X-Men: Days of Future Past

2. How to Train Your Dragon 2

3. Guardians of the Galaxy

4. Neighbors

5. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

6. Godzilla

7. A Million Ways To Die In The West

8. The Amazing Spider-Man 2

9. Maleficent

10. Jupiter Ascending

11. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

12. The Expendables 3

13. The Purge: Anarchy

14. Transformers: Age of Extinction

15. Hercules

 

Tie breaker: X-Men: Days of Future Past ($200 million)

 

I really wanted to put Guardians of the Galaxy at #1 on both lists, but at the end I chickened out.

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On the "this year is much tougher than last year" tip:

 

Last year we had 32 people enter the pool (33 if you count my entry).  4 different movies showed up at #1 on people's box office lists (the vast majority put Iron Man 3 at the top, but some people also had Star Trek 2, Fast & Furious 6, and Man of Steel) and 7 different movies showed up at #1 on people's Rotten Tomatoes lists (Monsters University, Star Trek 2, Iron Man 3, Man of Steel, Despicable Me 2, Great Gatsby, Elysium).

 

This year, we've only had 8 people enter so far, and there are already 5 different #1 movies on the box office lists and 7 different #1 movies on the RT lists.

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On the "this year is much tougher than last year" tip:

Last year we had 32 people enter the pool (33 if you count my entry). 4 different movies showed up at #1 on people's box office lists (the vast majority put Iron Man 3 at the top, but some people also had Star Trek 2, Fast & Furious 6, and Man of Steel) and 7 different movies showed up at #1 on people's Rotten Tomatoes lists (Monsters University, Star Trek 2, Iron Man 3, Man of Steel, Despicable Me 2, Great Gatsby, Elysium).

This year, we've only had 8 people enter so far, and there are already 5 different #1 movies on the box office lists and 7 different #1 movies on the RT lists.

On the other hand, TMNT is nearly unanimously the bottom RT pick. So there's that.

If it comes out better than it looks, that's gonna screw a lot of people. Myself included.

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On the "this year is much tougher than last year" tip:

Last year we had 32 people enter the pool (33 if you count my entry). 4 different movies showed up at #1 on people's box office lists (the vast majority put Iron Man 3 at the top, but some people also had Star Trek 2, Fast & Furious 6, and Man of Steel) and 7 different movies showed up at #1 on people's Rotten Tomatoes lists (Monsters University, Star Trek 2, Iron Man 3, Man of Steel, Despicable Me 2, Great Gatsby, Elysium).

This year, we've only had 8 people enter so far, and there are already 5 different #1 movies on the box office lists and 7 different #1 movies on the RT lists.

On the other hand, TMNT is nearly unanimously the bottom RT pick. So there's that.

If it comes out better than it looks, that's gonna screw a lot of people. Myself included.

 

 

There's always a film/films that buggers things up. Best be in the same boat.

 

I think, think I left Ted off both my 2012 lists so I dodged a bullet there.

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I'm in: Finally on the upswing:

 

BOX OFFICE: 

 

1- Transformers: Age of Extinction

2- The Amazing Spider-Man 2

3- How to Train Your Dragon 2

4-A Million Ways to Die In The West

5- X-Men: Days of Future Past

6- The Expendables 3

7- Hercules 

8- The Purge: Anarchy (TIEBREAKER: $100 million)

9- Maleficent

10-Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

11- Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

12- The Giver

13- 22 Jump Street

14- Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

15- Guardians of the Galaxy 

 

ROTTEN TOMATOES:

 

1- How to Train Your Dragon 2

2- Sin City: A Dame to Kill For

3- The Amazing Spider-Man 2

4- Maleficent

5- A Million Ways to Die In The West

6- The Purge: Anarchy

7- Hercules

8- Guardians of the Galaxy

9- The Expendables 3

10- The Giver

11- Edge of Tomorrow

12- Transformers: Edge of Extinction

13- 22 Jump Street

14- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

15- X-Men: Days of Future Past (

 

This is harder- not only are there a lot of turkeys and things that have bomb written all over them, but some that might not be could plummet on RT (I'd bet on the "tsk, tsk" factor giving Days of Future Past a lot of bad reviews, for one lower example.)

 

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Box Office

  1. Transformers: Age of Extinction
  2. X-Men: Days of Future Past
  3. How to Train Your Dragon 2
  4. Maleficent
  5. The Amazing Spider-Man 2
  6. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
  7. Godzilla 
  8. The Expendables 3 
  9. 22 Jump Street 
  10. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes 
  11. Jupiter Ascending 
  12. A Million Ways To Die In The West
  13. Neighbors 
  14. Edge of Tomorrow 
  15. Lucy 

Rotten Tomatoes

  1. How to Train Your Dragon 2
  2. Neighbors
  3. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes 
  4. Godzilla
  5. Guardians of the Galaxy
  6. Lucy
  7. Sin City: A Dame to Kill For
  8. A Million Ways to Die in the West
  9. The Amazing Spider-Man 2
  10. Maleficent
  11. X-Men: Days of Future Past
  12. Expendables 3
  13. Jupiter Ascending
  14. Transformers: Age of Extinction
  15. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

 

RT is a difficult one to pin down. They're all potential turds.

 

Tie Breaker: How to Train your Dragon 2: $242,320,005

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BOX OFFICE

1) Transformers: Age of Extinction

2) How to Train Your Dragon 2

3) The Amazing Spider-Man 2

4) X-Men: Days of Future Past

5) Godzilla

6) Maleficent

7) Guardians of the Galaxy

8) 22 Jump Street

9) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

10) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

11) The Expendables 3

12) The Giver

13) The Purge: Anarchy

14) Sin City: A Dame To Kill For

15) Lucy

 

 

ROTTEN TOMATOES

1) How to Train Your Dragon 2

2) X-Men: Days of Future Past

3) Maleficent

4) Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

5) The Amazing Spider-Man 2

6) Godzilla

7) 22 Jump Street

8) Neighbors

9) Guardians of the Galaxy

10) A Million Ways To Die In The West

11) Expendables 3

12) Sin City: A Dame To Kill For

13) Transformers: Age of Extinction

14) The Purge: Anarchy

15) Hercules

 

TIEBREAKER: The Purge: Anarchy - $55 Million

Edited by RIPPA
Edited my tiebreaker because I'm dumb
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