Dolfan in NYC Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 I think EEAOO getting 11 nominations fucking rules. I think it should win best picture, but I think either Banshees of Inisherin or The Fablemans is gonna win. With any luck Ke Huy Quan pulls the upset in Supporting Actor, though Brendan Gleeson was fucking amazing in Banshees. And somehow Barry Keoghan is even better. As was Brian Tyree Henry! An absolute murderers row of performances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bustronaut Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 2022 is one of the best movie years in quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Natural Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, Dolfan in NYC said: I think EEAOO getting 11 nominations fucking rules. I think it should win best picture, but I think either Banshees of Inisherin or The Fablemans is gonna win. With any luck Ke Huy Quan pulls the upset in Supporting Actor, though Brendan Gleeson was fucking amazing in Banshees. And somehow Barry Keoghan is even better. As was Brian Tyree Henry! An absolute murderers row of performances. Wanted to see EEAOO for a while now. Looking forward to getting round to it. Think it's between that and The Fablemans for Best Picture with it going to the latter. The Academy Awards love Steven Spielberg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odessasteps Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 I didnt love Banshees as much as I wanted to, but glad for the nominations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Cincinnati Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Dolfan in NYC said: With any luck Ke Huy Quan pulls the upset in Supporting Actor Upset? He's the frontrunner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Log Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just watched Marcel the Shell a couple weeks ago. Glad to see it nominated. It's so original and sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Cincinnati Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Decision to Leave not making International at all is surprising, but it losing at the Globes and the Critics choice probably didn't signal good things. I'd predicted RRR in Picture rather than Women Talking, which I'd suspected had fallen out of the field. 9/10 ain't bad though. As much as I liked Fabelmans, Brian Tyree Henry getting in over Paul Dano fucking rules. Dano probably should have gotten in over Hirsch, but who cares. Ke Huy Quan has this pretty much wrapped up. Amanda Dobbins of The Big Picture pod has a fun theory that the preferential balloting will lead to Tar squeaking through on a plurality of voters going high on it. Not sure I agree, but EEAAO seems somewhat divisive despite being one of the two frontrunners. If I had a ballot, some of y'all would shoot me if you saw where I ranked it... Regardless, the race is seemingly still Banshees vs EEAAO with maybe a Tar upset? Everyone who's scared The Fabelmans doesn't need to be, and it'd be nice if more of them watched The Fabelmans. Ana de Armas plowing ahead with Blonde with everything I've heard about the movie feels surprising until I remember I haven't encountered a single positive take about The Whale. Whatever, it's not like Cate's losing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dolfan in NYC Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 25 minutes ago, John from Cincinnati said: Upset? He's the frontrunner. He definitely fits the "elder statesmen who's never won anything" mold that Supporting Actor usually gets ... but so does Brendan Gleeson. Both are really, really deserving... I just don't trust the Academy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Cincinnati Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, Dolfan in NYC said: He definitely fits the "elder statesmen who's never won anything" mold that Supporting Actor usually gets ... but so does Brendan Gleeson. Both are really, really deserving... I just don't trust the Academy. Fair, but Supporting Actor and Lead Actress especially have seemed pretty locked in for a while now. The other two acting categories are seemingly the races. As much as one shouldn't trust the Academy, the only way they could really fuck up Supporting Actor at this point is giving it to Hirsch. And since that's definitely not happening, we're left with some good choices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonial Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 Speaking of Judd Hirsch, I didn't realize he was nominated in 1981 for Ordinary People. His 42 year span between nominations is the longest ever, surpassing Henry Fonda. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Log Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 I get why Hirsch was nominated. He has one scene, but it's a BIG scene. Man, I loved Fablemans (I have a hard time not typing "Fabelmen"). The trailers made it look like, "Young boy learns the power of cinema!" And, while that was part of it, it's a little messier than I think most people would expect. And goddamn: Spoiler That final shot! I lost my mind when that happened. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Cincinnati Posted January 24, 2023 Share Posted January 24, 2023 (edited) 16 minutes ago, Log said: The trailers made it look like, "Young boy learns the power of cinema!" And, while that was part of it, it's a little messier than I think most people would expect. Marketing fucked it up so bad. Them: "Looks like masturbatory twaddle about the magic of the movies and how great Steve thinks he is!" Me: "I don't know, about 3/4ths of the way through they just drop in a psychosexual comedy with a whole lot of Jesus." Edited January 24, 2023 by John from Cincinnati 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curt McGirt Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 10 Major Snubs and Surprises from the 2023 Oscar Nominations | Festivals & Awards | Roger Ebert 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elizium Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 10 hours ago, John from Cincinnati said: Marketing fucked it up so bad. Them: "Looks like masturbatory twaddle about the magic of the movies and how great Steve thinks he is!" Me: "I don't know, about 3/4ths of the way through they just drop in a psychosexual comedy with a whole lot of Jesus." Watched tonight and fucking loved it. Was a little unsure during the first 20 minutes or so (it was cool to see some of The Greastest Show on Earth, which I've never watched), but it really picks up after that and balances out the schmaltz with some really devastating stuff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Natural Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 13 hours ago, John from Cincinnati said: Marketing fucked it up so bad. Them: "Looks like masturbatory twaddle about the magic of the movies and how great Steve thinks he is!" Me: "I don't know, about 3/4ths of the way through they just drop in a psychosexual comedy with a whole lot of Jesus." That's the impression I got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Natural Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Surprisingly my fellow Paul, Paul Dano is still waiting for his first Academy Award nomination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odessasteps Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 https://twitter.com/MichaelWarbur17/status/1617945473939300353?t=-FWRRIlKd_ImVckRzKTgHA&s=19 Quote He spent 7yrs in foster care, in 13 different foster homes. He got his first acting job answering an ad he saw in a shop window. He was given nothing, was meant to achieve nothing. Today - aged 30 - BARRY KEOGHAN was nominated for an Oscar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AxB Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Why is Glass Onion an Adapted, rather than Original Screenplay? What's it based on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaos Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 38 minutes ago, AxB said: Why is Glass Onion an Adapted, rather than Original Screenplay? What's it based on? I'm guessing because it's a continuation of the Benoit blanc story. I think the academy considers existing IP even original to be adapted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dolfan in NYC Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 This is apparently the first time that all 5 nominees for best actress are first timers since 1935. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odessasteps Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Dolfan in NYC said: This is apparently the first time that all 5 nominees for best actress are first timers since 1935. Was Meryl Streep on a year long vacation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig H Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 Red Letter Media briefly covered Fabelmans on their 2022 catch-up part 2 video. I had to laugh at there being a literal record scratch moment in the movie. I think Fabelmans probably wins best picture because the Academy sure does love masturbatory movies about making movies. I don't see EEAAO winning it. I think Triangle of Sadness for as weird and fucked up as that movie looks would win before EEAAO does. That's not to say anything about the quality of the movie, but it just doesn't feel like it would win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odessasteps Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 I think Banshees is too depressing to win Best Picture. Even if Gleeson wins Best Actor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Log Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, odessasteps said: I think Banshees is too depressing to win Best Picture. Even if Gleeson wins Best Actor. I can definitely see it getting the actor wins, but I agree that it's an odd choice for Best Picture. Weirdly, though, I hear it thrown out a lot as a possible winner. I can kind of see EEAAO sneaking a Best Pic win just on a lot of voters thinking they're clever for picking it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIPPA Posted January 25, 2023 Author Share Posted January 25, 2023 Meanwhile the Razzies stepped in it... again This year they nominated 12-year-old Ryan Kiera Armstrong for Worst Actress for her performance in Firestarter (it should be noted that Zac Efron who played her Dad was not nominated) So after blowback - the Razzies announced that they removed Armstrong from the ballot and now have instituted an age limit of 18 years old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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